Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain

Match Analysis & Predictions

France: Ligue 1

Fri, 30th Oct, 2026 • 18:00 Regular Season - 9
Le Havre Le Havre
18th in table
LWLLL
- VS -
Upcoming
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
1st in table
WWWWW

Expert Prediction · Away Win

2 @ 1.31 (76% chance)

Winner : Paris Saint Germain
76% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

9.00 11% implied

Draw

5.75 16% implied

Away Win

1.30 73% implied
Stade Océane, Le Havre Francois Letexier

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
0Le Havre wins
1Draws
7Paris Saint Germain wins
3.9Goals per game
38%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
28 Feb 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
22 Nov 2025Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 0 Le Havre
19 Apr 2025Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Le Havre
16 Aug 2024Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
27 Apr 2024Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 3 Le Havre
03 Dec 2023Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
21 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Le Havre
12 Jul 2020Friendlies Clubs Le Havre 0 - 9 Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 8521 16:9 +7 17 WWWWW
2 Rennes 8512 18:14 +4 16 WLWLW
3 Lille 8431 11:6 +5 15 DDWLW
4 Monaco 8431 11:7 +4 15 DLDWD
5 Lyon 8422 13:7 +6 14 LWLWD
6 Paris FC 8422 13:9 +4 14 LWLWD
7 Lens 8413 16:12 +4 13 WWWLD
8 Marseille 8404 18:13 +5 12 WWWLL
9 Lorient 8332 7:6 +1 12 DWWLD
10 Nice 8323 8:10 -2 11 WLWWL
11 Toulouse 8242 12:11 +1 10 DWDWD
12 Auxerre 8314 12:18 -6 10 DWLWW
13 Stade Brestois 29 8233 14:12 +2 9 LDWLL
14 Angers 8224 9:15 -6 8 DLLWD
15 Le Mans 8143 11:16 -5 7 DLLWD
16 Strasbourg 8215 12:18 -6 7 LLLLD
17 Estac Troyes 8125 5:16 -11 5 DLLLL
18 Le Havre 8026 8:15 -7 2 LLLLD

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
2 L. SinayokoParis FC 6goals 4assists 8apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 5goals 0assists 6apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 5goals 2assists 8apps
5 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 6apps
6 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 8apps
7 Paris Josua BrunnerMonaco 4goals 0assists 6apps
8 K. DoumbiaStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 L. MafoutaLe Mans 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 F. ThauvinLens 4goals 7assists 8apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Le Havre Draw Paris Saint Germain
Value spotted: Le Havre win at 9.00 (model 18% vs market 11%) · Draw at 5.75 (model 23% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13%
0-2 11.4%
1-1 11%
1-2 9.7%
0-0 7.4%
0-3 6.6%

Expected goals: 0.85 Le Havre · 1.75 Paris Saint Germain

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score47%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
6%
Form
94%
35%
Attack
65%
21%
Defence
79%
14%
Goal model
86%
7%
Head to head
93%
28%
Goals
72%
18%
Overall
81%

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Le Havre 6 - 1 Boulogne W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 0 Angers D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 1 Le Havre D
23 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco L
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Le Mans 0 - 1 Le Havre W
8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
26 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Barcelona W
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain W
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava W
04 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco L
28 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 2 Paris Saint Germain D

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
3
61-75'
6
5
76-90'
4
4
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
5
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
1
Le Havre Paris Saint Germain

Side by side

Le Havre Paris Saint Germain
8 Played 8
0 Won 5
2 Drawn 2
6 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 2
1.9 Goals conceded per game 1.1
0.5 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 2
1 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win 3-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/2 Penalties scored 1/3

What comes next

Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain (H) 30 Oct
Lorient (H) 08 Nov
Estac Troyes (A) 20 Nov
Strasbourg (H) 28 Nov
Lens (A) 05 Dec
Paris Saint Germain
Le Havre (A) 30 Oct
Villarreal (A) 03 Nov
Estac Troyes (H) 07 Nov
Nice (A) 21 Nov
AS Roma (H) 25 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Le Havre
E. Jelert Thigh Injury
F. Mambimbi Achilles Tendon Injury
L. Mpasi-Nzau Achilles Tendon Injury
T. Pembele Muscle Injury
A. Toure Knee Injury
S. Zagadou Knee Injury
Paris Saint Germain
O. Dembele Thigh Injury
K. Kvaratskhelia Knee Injury
A. Longoni Injury
Marquinhos Thigh Injury
N. Mendes Muscle Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Le Havre 9.00 11% implied
Draw 5.75 17% implied
Paris Saint Germain 1.30 77% implied Our tip
Le Havre 7.00 14% implied
Paris Saint Germain 1.10 91% implied Our tip
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00 4% implied
Over 1.5 1.11 90% implied
Under 1.5 6.50 15% implied
Over 2.5 1.36 74% implied
Under 2.5 3.20 31% implied
Over 3.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 3.5 1.80 56% implied
Over 4.5 3.20 31% implied
Under 4.5 1.36 74% implied
Le Havre/Draw 21.00 5% implied
Le Havre/Paris Saint Germain 15.00 7% implied
Draw/Paris Saint Germain 4.33 23% implied
Draw/Draw 10.00 10% implied
Le Havre/Le Havre 19.00 5% implied
Draw/Le Havre 21.00 5% implied
Paris Saint Germain/Le Havre 41.00 2% implied
Paris Saint Germain/Draw 19.00 5% implied
Paris Saint Germain/Paris Saint Germain 1.73 58% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied
No 2.10 48% implied
0:2 8.50 12% implied
1:2 8.50 12% implied
0:3 9.50 11% implied
1:3 10.00 10% implied
0:1 11.00 9% implied
1:1 13.00 8% implied
0:4 13.00 8% implied
1:4 15.00 7% implied
Le Havre/Draw 3.75 27% implied
Le Havre/Paris Saint Germain 1.12 89% implied
Draw/Paris Saint Germain 1.06 94% implied
Le Havre 7.00 14% implied
Draw 2.88 35% implied
Paris Saint Germain 1.73 58% implied Our tip

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: preview and prediction

Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 18:00 at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Le Havre sit 18th in the table and Paris Saint Germain 1st. Paris Saint Germain are 15 points ahead (17 to 2).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 8521 16:9 +7 17
18 Le Havre 8026 8:15 -7 2

Full Ligue 1 standings

Le Havre are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). Paris Saint Germain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Le Havre won 0, Paris Saint Germain won 7 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Le Havre and 1.75 for Paris Saint Germain. It gives Paris Saint Germain the edge (18% home win, 23% draw, 59% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Verdict: our pick is Away Win (2) at odds of 1.31.

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain FAQs

What is the best prediction for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.31 odds).

Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Paris Saint Germain are favourites: our model gives Le Havre 18%, the draw 23% and Paris Saint Germain 59%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 47% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?

Kick-off is on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 18:00 at Stade Océane, Le Havre.

Who is the referee?

Francois Letexier is in charge of this game.

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