Everton vs Chelsea

Match Analysis & Predictions

England: Premier League

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 11:30 Regular Season - 7
Everton Everton
7th in table
DWWDL
0 VS 2
Finished
HT 0 - 0
Chelsea Chelsea
4th in table
WDLWW
23' Harrison Armstrong
27' Pedro Neto
32' Josh Acheampong
34' James Tarkowski
34' Morgan Rogers
46' Pedro Neto
65' Cole Palmer
89' Christian Nørgaard
90' Pedro Neto

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.67 (78% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or Chelsea
78% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

3.10 31% implied

Draw

3.80 25% implied

Away Win

2.15 44% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.67
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.55
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool Paul Tierney

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Everton wins
2Draws
4Chelsea wins
2.2Goals per game
11%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
21 Mar 2026Premier League Everton 3 - 0 Chelsea
13 Dec 2025Premier League Chelsea 2 - 0 Everton
26 Apr 2025Premier League Chelsea 1 - 0 Everton
22 Dec 2024Premier League Everton 0 - 0 Chelsea
15 Apr 2024Premier League Chelsea 6 - 0 Everton
10 Dec 2023Premier League Everton 2 - 0 Chelsea
18 Mar 2023Premier League Chelsea 2 - 2 Everton
06 Aug 2022Premier League Everton 0 - 1 Chelsea
01 May 2022Premier League Everton 1 - 0 Chelsea

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Manchester City 7700 19:7 +12 21 WWWWW
2 Arsenal 6501 10:5 +5 15 WLWWW
3 Brighton 6411 18:5 +13 13 WWWDL
4 Chelsea 7412 17:13 +4 13 WWLDL
5 Liverpool 7331 9:8 +1 12 WLWDW
6 Brentford 7241 13:8 +5 10 LDWDD
7 Everton 7241 8:7 +1 10 LDWDD
8 Leeds 6231 8:5 +3 9 LDWDD
9 Hull City 7232 8:7 +1 9 LDLDD
10 Ipswich 7304 11:15 -4 9 LWLWL
11 Newcastle 7223 10:14 -4 8 LLWLD
12 Aston Villa 7223 7:11 -4 8 WDWLD
13 Crystal Palace 6213 9:12 -3 7 WDLWL
14 Manchester United 6132 9:9 0 6 DDLDW
15 Coventry 6204 5:11 -6 6 WWLLL
16 Fulham 7124 7:10 -3 5 WLDDL
17 Nottingham Forest 6123 5:8 -3 5 LLWDD
18 Sunderland 6114 6:12 -6 4 LLLDW
19 Bournemouth 6033 7:13 -6 3 LLDDD
20 Tottenham 6033 3:9 -6 3 DLDDL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 6goals 0assists 6apps
2 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 5apps
3 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 6apps
4 M. RogersChelsea 4goals 1assists 6apps
5 A. IsakLiverpool 4goals 0assists 5apps
6 M. BelloumiHull City 3goals 2assists 6apps
7 M. TavernierBournemouth 3goals 0assists 6apps
8 K. SchadeBrentford 3goals 0assists 6apps
9 T. BarryEverton 3goals 0assists 6apps
10 B. MbeumoManchester United 3goals 0assists 6apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Everton Draw Chelsea
Value spotted: Everton win at 3.10 (model 60% vs market 31%)

Most likely scores

1-0 10%
1-1 10%
2-0 10%
2-1 10%
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 2 Everton · 1 Chelsea

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
33%
Attack
67%
69%
Defence
31%
78%
Goal model
22%
29%
Head to head
71%
25%
Goals
75%
47%
Overall
52%

Recent form

4 W 5 D 1 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Hull City 2 - 2 Everton D
19 Sep 2026Premier League Everton 1 - 0 Ipswich W
16 Sep 2026League Cup Everton 1 - 0 Wolves W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Tottenham 0 - 0 Everton D
06 Sep 2026Premier League Everton 2 - 2 Manchester United D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton D
26 Aug 2026League Cup Preston 0 - 4 Everton W
22 Aug 2026Premier League Everton 2 - 0 Crystal Palace W
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Everton 1 - 1 Lille D
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth W
18 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City D
09 Sep 2026League Cup Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea L
30 Aug 2026Premier League Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton W
27 Aug 2026League Cup Chelsea 2 - 0 Luton W
24 Aug 2026Premier League Fulham 2 - 3 Chelsea W
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Chelsea 3 - 1 Real Sociedad W

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
7
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
5
3
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3
Everton Chelsea

Side by side

Everton Chelsea
6 Played 6
2 Won 3
4 Drawn 1
0 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 2.5
0.8 Goals conceded per game 2.2
1.7 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 3.7 / 1.3
3 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 5-1
- Biggest defeat 3-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Everton
Arsenal (A) 24 Oct
Newcastle (H) 29 Oct
Newcastle (A) 02 Nov
Coventry (H) 06 Nov
Brentford (A) 23 Nov
Chelsea
Tottenham (H) 24 Oct
Liverpool (A) 28 Oct
Manchester United (H) 31 Oct
Sunderland (A) 08 Nov
Leeds (H) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Everton
No reported absences.
Chelsea
E. Emegha Muscle Injury
J. Gittens Ankle Injury
R. James Knee Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Everton 3.10 32% implied
Draw 3.80 26% implied
Chelsea 2.15 47% implied
Everton 2.20 45% implied
Chelsea 1.62 62% implied
Over 0.5 1.03 97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00 7% implied
Over 1.5 1.20 83% implied
Under 1.5 4.50 22% implied
Over 2.5 1.62 62% implied
Under 2.5 2.30 43% implied
Over 3.5 2.50 40% implied
Under 3.5 1.53 65% implied
Over 4.5 4.50 22% implied
Under 4.5 1.20 83% implied
Everton/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Everton/Chelsea 23.00 4% implied
Draw/Chelsea 6.00 17% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
Everton/Everton 5.00 20% implied
Draw/Everton 7.50 13% implied
Chelsea/Everton 26.00 4% implied
Chelsea/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Chelsea/Chelsea 3.60 28% implied
Yes 1.53 65% implied
No 2.38 42% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
1:2 10.00 10% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
0:1 12.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
0:2 13.00 8% implied
1:0 15.00 7% implied
0:0 15.00 7% implied
Everton/Draw 1.67 60% implied Our tip
Everton/Chelsea 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Chelsea 1.36 74% implied
Everton 3.50 29% implied
Draw 2.38 42% implied
Chelsea 2.75 36% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Everton vs Chelsea: preview and prediction

Everton host Chelsea in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 11:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Everton sit 7th in the table and Chelsea 4th. Chelsea are 3 points ahead (13 to 10).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
4 Chelsea 7412 17:13 +4 13
7 Everton 7241 8:7 +1 10

Full Premier League standings

Everton have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-L). Chelsea are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Everton won 3, Chelsea won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 11% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Everton and 1 for Chelsea. It gives Everton the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.67. We also like Both Teams Score (BTS).

Everton vs Chelsea FAQs

What is the best prediction for Everton vs Chelsea?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton are favourites: our model gives Everton 60%, the draw 21% and Chelsea 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 11% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Everton vs Chelsea?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 11:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.

Who is the referee?

Paul Tierney is in charge of this game.

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