Santos vs Palmeiras

Match Analysis & Predictions

Brazil: Serie A

Wed, 28th Oct, 2026 • 22:30 Regular Season - 33
Santos Santos
8th in table
WDLWD
- VS -
Upcoming
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1st in table
WWWLW

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.36 (79% chance)

Double chance : draw or Palmeiras
79% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.90 32% implied

Draw

3.25 29% implied

Away Win

2.40 39% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.36
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.33
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
2Santos wins
2Draws
6Palmeiras wins
1.8Goals per game
30%Both scored
30%Over 2.5
03 Sep 2026Copa Do Brasil Santos 0 - 0 Palmeiras
27 Aug 2026Copa Do Brasil Palmeiras 3 - 0 Santos
02 May 2026Serie A Palmeiras 1 - 1 Santos
14 Jan 2026Paulista - A1 Palmeiras 1 - 0 Santos
16 Nov 2025Serie A Santos 1 - 0 Palmeiras
07 Nov 2025Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 0 Santos
23 Jan 2025Paulista - A1 Santos 1 - 2 Palmeiras
07 Apr 2024Paulista - A1 Palmeiras 2 - 0 Santos
31 Mar 2024Paulista - A1 Santos 1 - 0 Palmeiras
28 Jan 2024Paulista - A1 Palmeiras 2 - 1 Santos

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Palmeiras 322093 56:22 +34 69 WWWWD
2 Flamengo 312074 61:25 +36 67 WWDWW
3 Cruzeiro 3216610 51:46 +5 54 WWLWW
4 Atletico Paranaense 321598 50:38 +12 54 DLWDW
5 Fluminense 321499 50:41 +9 51 LLLWW
6 Atletico-MG 311489 42:35 +7 50 WWDWD
7 Bahia 3213118 45:40 +5 50 DLWLL
8 Santos 32121010 49:47 +2 46 DWLDW
9 Sao Paulo 3212713 37:36 +1 43 DWWLL
10 RB Bragantino 3211813 39:38 +1 41 LDWDL
11 Botafogo 3210913 44:51 -7 39 LWDLL
12 Coritiba 3110912 38:49 -11 39 LDLLD
13 Vasco DA Gama 3110813 39:45 -6 38 WLDWW
14 Vitoria 3210814 35:46 -11 38 DDLWL
15 Mirassol 3291013 37:45 -8 37 DWLDW
16 Internacional 3281113 36:40 -4 35 WLDWL
17 Corinthians 328915 34:42 -8 33 LDLLL
18 Gremio 3171014 34:44 -10 31 LDDDL
19 Remo 3251116 34:50 -16 26 LDDDL
20 Chapecoense-sc 314918 32:63 -31 21 WLLLD

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 30apps
2 PedroFlamengo 16goals 6assists 31apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 24apps
4 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 30apps
5 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 11goals 2assists 25apps
6 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 28apps
7 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
8 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 24apps
9 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 1assists 26apps
10 Samuel LinoFlamengo 9goals 8assists 30apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Santos Draw Palmeiras
Value spotted: Palmeiras win at 2.40 (model 45% vs market 39%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.5%
0-1 11.3%
1-2 9%
1-0 8.6%
0-2 8.2%
0-0 7.8%

Expected goals: 1.1 Santos · 1.45 Palmeiras

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
62%
47%
Attack
53%
13%
Defence
88%
27%
Goal model
73%
38%
Head to head
62%
29%
Goals
71%
32%
Overall
68%

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 1 - 1 Bahia D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Santos L
08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo D
02 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Remo 1 - 2 Santos W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 4 - 2 Santos L
13 Sep 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 1 Cruzeiro W
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Santos 2 - 0 Atletico-MG W
06 Sep 2026Serie A Internacional 2 - 3 Santos W
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 0 RB Bragantino W
22 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense L
17 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2 Palmeiras W
15 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 4 - 1 Corinthians W
09 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Gremio 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores LDU de Quito 3 - 2 Palmeiras L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 0 Sao Paulo W
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras 1 - 0 LDU de Quito W

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
10
8
16-30'
10
6
31-45'
6
15
46-60'
11
6
61-75'
9
12
76-90'
8
4
0-15'
2
6
16-30'
1
9
31-45'
5
5
46-60'
7
8
61-75'
3
9
76-90'
3
Santos Palmeiras

Side by side

Santos Palmeiras
32 Played 32
12 Won 20
10 Drawn 9
10 Lost 3
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.8
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.7
1.4 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.9 / 1.6
6 Clean sheets 15
3 Failed to score 4
5 Longest winning run 5
3-1 Biggest win 5-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
8/8 Penalties scored 3/5

What comes next

Santos
Palmeiras (H) 28 Oct
RB Bragantino (A) 02 Nov
Coritiba (A) 18 Nov
Gremio (H) 22 Nov
Vitoria (A) 29 Nov
Palmeiras
Santos (A) 28 Oct
Vasco DA Gama (H) 01 Nov
Remo (H) 05 Nov
Vasco DA Gama (A) 08 Nov
Cruzeiro (A) 18 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Santos
Arthur Melo Muscle Injury
G. Escobar Inactive
Gabriel Brazao Shoulder Injury
Lucas Verissimo Injury
Neymar Yellow Cards
Vinicius Lira Knee Injury
Willian Arao Inactive
Palmeiras
Jefte Knee Injury
Paulinho Inactive
Vitor Roque Inactive

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Santos 2.90 34% implied
Draw 3.25 31% implied
Palmeiras 2.40 42% implied
Santos 2.00 50% implied
Palmeiras 1.73 58% implied
Over 0.5 1.06 94% implied
Under 0.5 10.00 10% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.75 27% implied
Over 2.5 1.95 51% implied
Under 2.5 1.85 54% implied
Over 3.5 3.40 29% implied
Under 3.5 1.33 75% implied
Over 4.5 6.00 17% implied
Under 4.5 1.12 89% implied
Santos/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Santos/Palmeiras 26.00 4% implied
Draw/Palmeiras 6.00 17% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Santos/Santos 4.75 21% implied
Draw/Santos 6.50 15% implied
Palmeiras/Santos 29.00 3% implied
Palmeiras/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Palmeiras/Palmeiras 4.00 25% implied
Yes 1.70 59% implied
No 2.05 49% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
0:1 8.50 12% implied
1:2 9.50 11% implied
1:0 10.00 10% implied
0:0 10.00 10% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
0:2 12.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
Santos/Draw 1.53 65% implied
Santos/Palmeiras 1.33 75% implied
Draw/Palmeiras 1.40 71% implied Our tip
Santos 3.40 29% implied
Draw 2.20 45% implied
Palmeiras 3.00 33% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Santos vs Palmeiras: preview and prediction

Santos host Palmeiras in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 33) on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 22:30 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos. Santos sit 8th in the table and Palmeiras 1st. Palmeiras are 23 points ahead (69 to 46).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Palmeiras 322093 56:22 +34 69
8 Santos 32121010 49:47 +2 46

Full Serie A standings

Santos have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-D). Palmeiras are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-W).

In the last 10 meetings, Santos won 2, Palmeiras won 6 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 30% and over 2.5 goals in 30%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Santos and 1.45 for Palmeiras. It gives Palmeiras the edge (29% home win, 26% draw, 45% away win), 47% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.36. We also like Ov 1.5.

Santos vs Palmeiras FAQs

What is the best prediction for Santos vs Palmeiras?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.36 odds).

Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras are favourites: our model gives Santos 29%, the draw 26% and Palmeiras 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 30% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Santos vs Palmeiras?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 22:30 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.

More Serie A Tips

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