Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.

Match Analysis & Predictions

Ireland: Premier Division

Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 • 19:00 Regular Season - 33
Derry City Derry City
5th in table
WDWWL
1 VS 0
Finished
HT 0 - 0
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
3rd in table
DWWWL
21' Darragh Burns
53' Anthony Olusanya
62' Kévin Santos
70' James Clarke
80' Christopher Forrester

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.36 (77% chance) Lost

Double chance : Derry City or draw
77% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

3.30 27% implied

Draw

3.25 28% implied

Away Win

2.00 45% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.36
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.25
Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.27
Free Tip X2 @ 1.36
Brandywell Stadium, Delhi Aaron O'Dowd

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Derry City wins
4Draws
2St Patrick's Athl. wins
1.6Goals per game
22%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
02 Aug 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 1 Derry City
22 May 2026Premier Division Derry City 0 - 0 St Patrick's Athl.
16 Mar 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 0 Derry City
29 Aug 2025Premier Division Derry City 2 - 2 St Patrick's Athl.
23 Jun 2025Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 1 Derry City
05 May 2025Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 St Patrick's Athl.
03 Mar 2025Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 0 Derry City
25 Oct 2024Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 0 Derry City
21 Jul 2024FAI Cup Derry City 3 - 0 St Patrick's Athl.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Shamrock Rovers 341987 54:35 +19 65 LWWWL
2 Bohemians 341888 60:41 +19 62 WLWWW
3 St Patrick's Athl. 341789 53:28 +25 59 LLWWW
4 Shelbourne 34111310 49:47 +2 46 WWDWL
5 Derry City 34101410 46:44 +2 44 WLWDW
6 Dundalk 34101212 51:56 -5 42 DLLLD
7 Galway United 34101113 46:51 -5 41 LWDLW
8 Waterford 3481313 48:58 -10 37 WLLDD
9 Drogheda United 3491015 41:54 -13 37 WLLWW
10 Sligo Rovers 345920 26:60 -34 24 DLLLL

Top scorers

Premier Division
1 T. LonerganWaterford 14goals 4assists 31apps
2 C. WhelanBohemians 13goals 6assists 34apps
3 R. TierneyBohemians 11goals 3assists 34apps
4 D. HorganDundalk 11goals 10assists 33apps
5 J. McGovernShamrock Rovers 10goals 6assists 29apps
6 R. EdmondsonSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 1assists 33apps
7 P. AmondWaterford 10goals 1assists 33apps
8 M. DuffyDerry City 10goals 5assists 26apps
9 A. KeenaSt Patrick's Athl. 10goals 4assists 28apps
10 M. DoyleDrogheda United 9goals 0assists 32apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Derry City Draw St Patrick's Athl.
Value spotted: Derry City win at 3.30 (model 38% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.7%
1-0 10.2%
0-1 9.8%
2-1 8.2%
1-2 7.9%
0-0 7.8%

Expected goals: 1.3 Derry City · 1.25 St Patrick's Athl.

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams score52%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
47%
Attack
53%
36%
Defence
64%
46%
Goal model
54%
64%
Head to head
36%
57%
Goals
43%
49%
Overall
50%

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 2 - 0 Derry City L
10 Oct 2026FAI Cup Galway United 0 - 2 Derry City W
18 Sep 2026Premier Division Derry City 1 - 0 Galway United W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Waterford 2 - 2 Derry City D
11 Sep 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 0 - 1 Derry City W
06 Sep 2026FAI Cup Derry City 4 - 2 Dundalk W
30 Aug 2026Premier Division Derry City 3 - 3 Shamrock Rovers D
21 Aug 2026Premier Division Bohemians 5 - 3 Derry City L
14 Aug 2026FAI Cup UCD 1 - 2 Derry City W
07 Aug 2026Premier Division Derry City 2 - 0 Sligo Rovers W
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 2 Shelbourne L
19 Sep 2026Premier Division Sligo Rovers 0 - 1 St Patrick's Athl. W
14 Sep 2026Premier Division Dundalk 0 - 4 St Patrick's Athl. W
11 Sep 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 2 - 0 Shamrock Rovers W
05 Sep 2026FAI Cup St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 1 Bohemians D
28 Aug 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 0 - 2 Waterford L
21 Aug 2026Premier Division Drogheda United 0 - 2 St Patrick's Athl. W
16 Aug 2026FAI Cup St Patrick's Athl. 3 - 2 Shamrock Rovers W
09 Aug 2026Premier Division Shelbourne 1 - 2 St Patrick's Athl. W
02 Aug 2026Premier Division St Patrick's Athl. 1 - 1 Derry City D

Season numbers

Premier Division 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
9
7
16-30'
8
6
31-45'
9
7
46-60'
9
8
61-75'
7
13
76-90'
11
3
0-15'
6
9
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
5
11
46-60'
2
6
61-75'
7
11
76-90'
6
Derry City St Patrick's Athl.

Side by side

Derry City St Patrick's Athl.
33 Played 33
9 Won 17
14 Drawn 8
10 Lost 8
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.7 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.9 / 1.3
9 Clean sheets 13
8 Failed to score 10
2 Longest winning run 4
4-1 Biggest win 4-0
2-4 Biggest defeat 0-2
4/5 Penalties scored 4/5

What comes next

Derry City
St Patrick's Athl. (H) 19 Oct
Dundalk (H) 23 Oct
Sligo Rovers (A) 30 Oct
Waterford (A) 08 Nov
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City (A) 19 Oct
Galway United (A) 23 Oct
Bohemians (H) 30 Oct
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Derry City 3.30 30% implied
Draw 3.25 31% implied
St Patrick's Athl. 2.00 50% implied
Derry City 2.38 42% implied
St Patrick's Athl. 1.53 65% implied
Over 0.5 1.06 94% implied
Under 0.5 10.00 10% implied
Over 1.5 1.33 75% implied
Under 1.5 3.25 31% implied
Over 2.5 2.05 49% implied
Under 2.5 1.75 57% implied
Over 3.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 3.5 1.25 80% implied
Over 4.5 8.00 13% implied
Under 4.5 1.08 93% implied
Derry City/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Derry City/St Patrick's Athl. 26.00 4% implied
Draw/St Patrick's Athl. 5.50 18% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.00 20% implied
Derry City/Derry City 5.50 18% implied
Draw/Derry City 7.50 13% implied
St Patrick's Athl./Derry City 34.00 3% implied
St Patrick's Athl./Draw 13.00 8% implied
St Patrick's Athl./St Patrick's Athl. 3.50 29% implied
Yes 1.80 56% implied
No 1.95 51% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
0:1 7.50 13% implied
1:2 9.00 11% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
0:0 9.50 11% implied
0:2 10.00 10% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
Derry City/Draw 1.67 60% implied
Derry City/St Patrick's Athl. 1.30 77% implied
Draw/St Patrick's Athl. 1.30 77% implied Our tip
Derry City 4.00 25% implied
Draw 2.10 48% implied
St Patrick's Athl. 2.75 36% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: preview and prediction

Derry City host St Patrick's Athl. in the Ireland Premier Division (Regular Season - 33) on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 19:00 at Brandywell Stadium, Delhi. Derry City sit 5th in the table and St Patrick's Athl. 3rd. St Patrick's Athl. are 15 points ahead (59 to 44).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 St Patrick's Athl. 341789 53:28 +25 59
5 Derry City 34101410 46:44 +2 44

Full Premier Division standings

Derry City are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L). St Patrick's Athl. are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Derry City won 3, St Patrick's Athl. won 2 and 4 ended level. These games average 1.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 22% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Derry City and 1.25 for St Patrick's Athl.. It gives Derry City the edge (38% home win, 27% draw, 35% away win), 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.36. We also like Ov 1.5, Un 3.5.

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. FAQs

What is the best prediction for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.36 odds).

Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Derry City are favourites: our model gives Derry City 38%, the draw 27% and St Patrick's Athl. 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 52% chance in our model, and it happened in 22% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?

Kick-off is on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 19:00 at Brandywell Stadium, Delhi.

Who is the referee?

Aaron O'Dowd is in charge of this game.

More Premier Division Tips

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