Paide vs Trans Narva

Match Analysis & Predictions

Estonia: Meistriliiga

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 14:00 Regular Season - 32
Paide Paide
3rd in table
LWWLW
- VS -
Upcoming
Trans Narva Trans Narva
10th in table
DLDDL

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.46 (83% chance)

Double chance : Paide or draw
83% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.50 60% implied

Draw

4.20 21% implied

Away Win

4.75 19% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.46
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.14
Over/Under 2.5 Ov 2.5 @ 1.58
Double Chance 1X @ 1.14
Paide linnastaadion, Paide M. Pukk

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
4Paide wins
2Draws
4Trans Narva wins
2.1Goals per game
40%Both scored
30%Over 2.5
16 Aug 2026Meistriliiga Trans Narva 1 - 1 Paide
20 May 2026Meistriliiga Trans Narva 1 - 0 Paide
15 Mar 2026Meistriliiga Paide 1 - 0 Trans Narva
07 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs Trans Narva 1 - 1 Paide
27 Sep 2025Meistriliiga Trans Narva 2 - 3 Paide
20 Jul 2025Meistriliiga Paide 2 - 0 Trans Narva
31 May 2025Meistriliiga Paide 0 - 1 Trans Narva
15 Mar 2025Meistriliiga Trans Narva 1 - 0 Paide
18 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs Paide 1 - 2 Trans Narva
29 Sep 2024Meistriliiga Trans Narva 0 - 3 Paide

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Levadia Tallinn 312461 85:22 +63 78 WWDWW
2 Flora Tallinn 3118112 60:44 +16 55 LLWWD
3 Paide 311669 50:38 +12 54 WLWWL
4 Kalju Nomme 3215611 54:33 +21 51 LDLWW
5 Tammeka 3115214 42:49 -7 47 LWLLW
6 Laagri 3113216 43:47 -4 41 WWDWL
7 Vaprus 3110615 43:61 -18 36 DDLLL
8 Kuressaare 3110516 34:49 -15 35 WWDLL
9 Nõmme United 3210121 50:74 -24 31 WLLLL
10 Trans Narva 315521 24:68 -44 20 LDDLD

Top scorers

Meistriliiga
1 Daniel CabralPaide 5goals 0assists 16apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Paide Draw Trans Narva
Value spotted: Paide win at 1.50 (model 69% vs market 60%)

Most likely scores

2-0 12.7%
1-0 11.8%
2-1 9.5%
3-0 9.1%
1-1 8.9%
3-1 6.8%

Expected goals: 2.15 Paide · 0.75 Trans Narva

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score47%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
62%
Attack
38%
62%
Defence
38%
87%
Goal model
13%
62%
Head to head
38%
55%
Goals
45%
67%
Overall
32%

Recent form

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
14 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Paide 2 - 1 Tammeka W
11 Oct 2026Meistriliiga FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 0 Paide L
19 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Nõmme United 1 - 3 Paide W
16 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Paide 2 - 0 Vaprus W
13 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Paide 1 - 2 Laagri L
09 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Tammeka 0 - 2 Paide W
06 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Paide 0 - 2 FC Levadia Tallinn L
30 Aug 2026Meistriliiga Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Paide W
26 Aug 2026Cup FC Levadia Tallinn 4 - 1 Paide L
23 Aug 2026Meistriliiga Paide 4 - 1 Nõmme United W
1 W 4 D 5 L in the last 10
14 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Trans Narva 0 - 1 Kuressaare L
10 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Vaprus 2 - 2 Trans Narva D
20 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Trans Narva 1 - 1 FC Levadia Tallinn D
12 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Kalju Nomme 2 - 0 Trans Narva L
08 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Trans Narva 2 - 2 Flora Tallinn D
05 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Kuressaare 3 - 1 Trans Narva L
30 Aug 2026Meistriliiga Trans Narva 0 - 2 Tammeka L
26 Aug 2026Cup Trans Narva 2 - 0 Kalju Nomme W
21 Aug 2026Meistriliiga FC Levadia Tallinn 4 - 0 Trans Narva L
16 Aug 2026Meistriliiga Trans Narva 1 - 1 Paide D

Season numbers

Meistriliiga 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
2
7
16-30'
6
7
31-45'
7
9
46-60'
1
7
61-75'
4
13
76-90'
5
6
0-15'
8
8
16-30'
8
4
31-45'
17
2
46-60'
7
8
61-75'
10
11
76-90'
17
Paide Trans Narva

Side by side

Paide Trans Narva
31 Played 31
16 Won 5
6 Drawn 5
9 Lost 21
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.8
1.2 Goals conceded per game 2.2
1.5 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 0.5
7 Clean sheets 3
4 Failed to score 15
4 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 3-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
8/8 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Paide
Trans Narva (H) 18 Oct
Kuressaare (A) 24 Oct
Kalju Nomme (H) 28 Oct
Vaprus (A) 31 Oct
Flora Tallinn (H) 07 Nov
Trans Narva
Paide (A) 18 Oct
Tammeka (A) 23 Oct
Nõmme United (H) 27 Oct
Flora Tallinn (A) 01 Nov
Laagri (H) 07 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Paide 1.50 67% implied Our tip
Draw 4.20 24% implied
Trans Narva 4.75 21% implied
Paide 1.22 82% implied Our tip
Trans Narva 4.00 25% implied
Over 0.5 1.00 100% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.17 85% implied
Under 1.5 4.50 22% implied
Over 2.5 1.57 64% implied
Under 2.5 2.35 43% implied
Over 3.5 2.38 42% implied
Under 3.5 1.53 65% implied
Over 4.5 4.00 25% implied
Under 4.5 1.22 82% implied
Paide/Draw 17.00 6% implied Our tip
Paide/Trans Narva 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Trans Narva 11.00 9% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00 14% implied
Paide/Paide 2.25 44% implied
Draw/Paide 4.50 22% implied
Trans Narva/Paide 21.00 5% implied
Trans Narva/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Trans Narva/Trans Narva 8.00 13% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied
No 2.10 48% implied
2:0 8.50 12% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
1:1 9.00 11% implied
3:0 12.00 8% implied
3:1 12.00 8% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
0:0 17.00 6% implied
Paide/Draw 1.12 89% implied Our tip
Paide/Trans Narva 1.17 85% implied
Draw/Trans Narva 2.30 43% implied
Paide 2.00 50% implied Our tip
Draw 2.50 40% implied
Trans Narva 5.00 20% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Paide vs Trans Narva: preview and prediction

Paide host Trans Narva in the Estonia Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 32) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 14:00 at Paide linnastaadion, Paide. Paide sit 3rd in the table and Trans Narva 10th. Paide are 34 points ahead (54 to 20).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 Paide 311669 50:38 +12 54
10 Trans Narva 315521 24:68 -44 20

Full Meistriliiga standings

Paide are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-W). Trans Narva are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-D-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Paide won 4, Trans Narva won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% and over 2.5 goals in 30%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Paide and 0.75 for Trans Narva. It gives Paide the edge (69% home win, 19% draw, 12% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Verdict: our pick is Home Win (1) at odds of 1.46. We also like Ov 1.5, Ov 2.5, Double Chance (1X).

Paide vs Trans Narva FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paide vs Trans Narva?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.46 odds).

Who will win Paide vs Trans Narva?

Paide are favourites: our model gives Paide 69%, the draw 19% and Trans Narva 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 47% chance in our model, and it happened in 40% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Paide vs Trans Narva?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 14:00 at Paide linnastaadion, Paide.

Who is the referee?

M. Pukk is in charge of this game.

More Meistriliiga Tips

13:30 Harju JK Laagri Parnu JK Vaprus 1X 15:00 Kuressaare Levadia 2 18:00 Flora Tammeka 1