Fakel vs Akhmat

Match Analysis & Predictions

Russia: Cup

Tue, 27th Oct, 2026 • 15:00 Group Stage - 5
Fakel Fakel
WLWWL
- VS -
Upcoming
Akhmat Akhmat
LDLLL

Expert Prediction · Free Tip

Ov 1.5 @ 1.25 (64% chance)

Double chance : Fakel or draw
64% confidence

Match Odds · Marathonbet

Home Win

3.15 30% implied

Draw

3.22 30% implied

Away Win

2.40 40% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Free Tip Ov 1.5 @ 1.25
Double Chance 1X @ 1.64
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.25
Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.28
Fakel Stadium, Voronezh

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Fakel wins
3Draws
2Akhmat wins
2.3Goals per game
63%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
18 Aug 2026Cup Akhmat 2 - 1 Fakel
10 Aug 2026Premier League Fakel 0 - 0 Akhmat
05 Apr 2025Premier League Fakel 0 - 0 Akhmat
18 Oct 2024Premier League Akhmat 2 - 3 Fakel
25 May 2024Premier League Fakel Voronezh 2 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
04 Nov 2023Premier League Akhmat Grozny 1 - 2 Fakel Voronezh
16 Apr 2023Premier League Fakel Voronezh 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny
24 Jul 2022Premier League Akhmat Grozny 2 - 1 Fakel Voronezh

Top scorers

Cup
1 Matheus ReisCSKA Moscow 1goals 0assists 1apps
2 O. NdongAkhmat 0goals 1assists 1apps
3 João EscovalAkron 0goals 0assists 1apps
4 F. MoufiBaltika 0goals 0assists 1apps
5 Ygor NogueiraFC Rostov 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 Kevin PinaFC Krasnodar 0goals 0assists 1apps
7 BatxiFC Krasnodar 0goals 0assists 1apps
8 Júlio RomãoAkhmat 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 Gilson BenchimolAkron 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 M. HosseinnezhadDinamo Makhachkala 0goals 0assists 1apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Fakel Draw Akhmat
Value spotted: Fakel win at 3.15 (model 49% vs market 30%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.3%
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.2%
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.5 Fakel · 1 Akhmat

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
62%
Defence
38%
58%
Goal model
42%
62%
Head to head
38%
60%
Goals
40%
57%
Overall
43%

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Premier League Fakel 0 - 1 Rodina Moskva L
17 Oct 2026Premier League Krylia Sovetov 1 - 2 Fakel W
13 Oct 2026Cup FC Krasnodar 0 - 2 Fakel W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Fakel 0 - 5 Lokomotiv L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Fakel 1 - 0 FC Vitebsk W
16 Sep 2026Premier League Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 Fakel L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Fakel 2 - 2 Baltika D
05 Sep 2026Premier League FC Rostov 3 - 1 Fakel L
01 Sep 2026Cup Fakel 1 - 1 FC Krasnodar D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Fakel 0 - 1 Zenit L
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
23 Oct 2026Premier League Akhmat 0 - 1 FC Orenburg L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Zenit 3 - 2 Akhmat L
14 Oct 2026Cup Akhmat 1 - 2 Dynamo L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Akhmat 0 - 0 Baltika D
17 Sep 2026Premier League Akron 2 - 0 Akhmat L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Akhmat 3 - 2 Dinamo Makhachkala W
07 Sep 2026Premier League Rubin 1 - 1 Akhmat D
03 Sep 2026Cup Dynamo 3 - 0 Akhmat L
29 Aug 2026Premier League Akhmat 3 - 3 Krylia Sovetov D
22 Aug 2026Premier League Akhmat 4 - 1 FC Rostov W

Season numbers

Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
Fakel Akhmat

Side by side

Fakel Akhmat
4 Played 4
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 3
1 Goals scored per game 1
1.3 Goals conceded per game 2
0.5 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 0.5
1 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 1
0-2 Biggest win 2-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-2
3/5 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Fakel
Akhmat (H) 27 Oct
Rubin (A) 31 Oct
Dynamo (H) 07 Nov
Akron (A) 21 Nov
Dynamo (A) 26 Nov
Akhmat
Fakel (A) 27 Oct
Dynamo (A) 31 Oct
Rodina Moskva (H) 07 Nov
CSKA Moscow (A) 21 Nov
FC Krasnodar (H) 25 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Marathonbet
Fakel 3.15 32% implied
Draw 3.22 31% implied
Akhmat 2.40 42% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 8.50 12% implied
Over 1.5 1.30 77% implied
Under 1.5 3.12 32% implied
Over 2.5 2.06 49% implied
Under 2.5 1.77 56% implied
Over 3.5 3.44 29% implied
Under 3.5 1.25 80% implied
Over 4.5 6.95 14% implied
Under 4.5 1.04 96% implied
Fakel/Draw 15.25 7% implied Our tip
Fakel/Akhmat 33.00 3% implied
Draw/Akhmat 5.45 18% implied
Draw/Draw 4.45 22% implied
Fakel/Fakel 5.15 19% implied
Draw/Fakel 6.80 15% implied
Akhmat/Fakel 41.00 2% implied
Akhmat/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Akhmat/Akhmat 3.76 27% implied
Yes 1.77 56% implied
No 1.94 52% implied
1:1 5.50 18% implied
0:1 7.30 14% implied
0:0 8.50 12% implied
1:0 8.60 12% implied
1:2 8.90 11% implied
2:1 10.50 10% implied
0:2 11.00 9% implied
2:2 13.50 7% implied
Fakel/Draw 1.60 63% implied Our tip
Fakel/Akhmat 1.36 74% implied
Draw/Akhmat 1.38 72% implied
Fakel 3.85 26% implied
Draw 1.99 50% implied
Akhmat 3.08 32% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Fakel vs Akhmat: preview and prediction

Fakel host Akhmat in the Russia Cup (Group Stage - 5) on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 15:00 at Fakel Stadium, Voronezh.

Fakel are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-L). Akhmat are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Fakel won 3, Akhmat won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Fakel and 1 for Akhmat. It gives Fakel the edge (49% home win, 26% draw, 25% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Verdict: our pick is Ov 1.5 at odds of 1.25. We also like Double Chance (1X), Un 3.5.

Fakel vs Akhmat FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fakel vs Akhmat?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Ov 1.5 (1.25 odds).

Who will win Fakel vs Akhmat?

Fakel are favourites: our model gives Fakel 49%, the draw 26% and Akhmat 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Fakel vs Akhmat?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 15:00 at Fakel Stadium, Voronezh.

More Cup Tips

18:30 Krasnodar Dynamo Moscow Un 3.5