Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

Match Analysis & Predictions

World: UEFA Champions League

Wed, 21st Oct, 2026 • 19:00 League Stage - 3

Real Madrid

8th in table

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- VS -

Upcoming

RB Leipzig

21st in table

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Expert Prediction · Free Tip

1 @ 1.29 (87% chance)

Combo Winner : Real Madrid and +1.5 goals

87% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.25 76% implied

Draw

6.50 15% implied

Away Win

10.00 9% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Free Tip 1 @ 1.29

Home Win 1 @ 1.29

Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

4games

2Real Madrid wins

1Draws

1RB Leipzig wins

2.5Goals per game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

06 Mar 2024UEFA Champions League Real Madrid

1 - 1

RB Leipzig

13 Feb 2024UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig

0 - 1

Real Madrid

25 Oct 2022UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig

3 - 2

Real Madrid

14 Sep 2022UEFA Champions League Real Madrid

2 - 0

RB Leipzig

UEFA Champions League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	2	2	0	0	10:3	+7	6	WW
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	9:2	+7	6	WW
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	9:2	+7	6	WW
4	VfB Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	6:1	+5	6	WW
5	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	8:4	+4	6	WW
6	Sporting CP	2	2	0	0	5:1	+4	6	WW
7	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	+4	6	WW
8	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	6:4	+2	6	WW
9	Real Betis	2	2	0	0	6:4	+2	6	WW
10	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	8:3	+5	4	DW
11	Shakhtar Donetsk	2	1	1	0	4:2	+2	4	WD
12	Como	2	1	0	1	6:4	+2	3	LW
13	Manchester United	2	1	0	1	4:2	+2	3	LW
14	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	5:4	+1	3	WL
15	Atletico Madrid	2	1	0	1	3:2	+1	3	WL
16	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3	WL
17	Manchester City	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3	LW
18	Borussia Dortmund	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3	LW
19	Lens	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3	LW
20	AEK Athens FC	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3	LW
21	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3	WL
22	Sabah FA	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3	WL
23	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	4:7	-3	3	WL
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	1:5	-4	3	WL
25	AS Roma	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1	LD
26	PSV Eindhoven	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1	LD
27	Viking	2	0	1	1	4:6	-2	1	DL
28	Fenerbahçe	2	0	1	1	1:7	-6	1	LD
29	Inter	2	0	0	2	4:6	-2	0	LL
30	FC Porto	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0	LL
31	Slavia Praha	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0	LL
32	Napoli	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0	LL
33	Lask Linz	2	0	0	2	3:7	-4	0	LL
34	Lille	2	0	0	2	2:6	-4	0	LL
35	Galatasaray	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0	LL
36	Slovan Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0	LL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League

J. Mickels

Sabah FA 4goals 1assists 10apps

E. Demirović

VfB Stuttgart 4goals 0assists 2apps

E. Haaland

Manchester City 4goals 0assists 2apps

Talisca

Fenerbahçe 4goals 0assists 6apps

N. Tresoldi

Club Brugge KV 4goals 0assists 2apps

O. Dembélé

Paris Saint Germain 3goals 3assists 2apps

V. Simić

Sabah FA 3goals 0assists 10apps

Reinaldo

Levski Sofia 3goals 0assists 8apps

N. Sikharulashvili

FC Iberia 1999 3goals 0assists 4apps

F. Flecker

Lask Linz 3goals 0assists 3apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Our goal model

76% 13% 9%

API-Football

45% 45% 10%

Bookmaker

76% 15% 9%

Real Madrid Draw RB Leipzig

Most likely scores

2-0 8.2%

2-1 8.2%

3-0 8.2%

3-1 8.2%

4-0 6.2%

4-1 6.2%

Expected goals: 3 Real Madrid · 1 RB Leipzig

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams score59%

Team comparison

67%

Form

33%

75%

Attack

25%

50%

Defence

50%

84%

Goal model

16%

64%

Head to head

36%

60%

Goals

40%

66%

Overall

33%

Recent form

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10

18 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid

4 - 1

Sevilla W

14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League AS Roma

3 - 4

Real Madrid W

10 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid

1 - 0

Villarreal W

20 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Real Madrid L

15 Sep 2026La Liga Elche

2 - 3

Real Madrid W

12 Sep 2026La Liga Real Madrid

4 - 1

Rayo Vallecano W

08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Real Madrid

2 - 1

Inter W

04 Sep 2026La Liga Real Betis

1 - 0

Real Madrid L

30 Aug 2026La Liga Real Madrid

4 - 0

Malaga W

26 Aug 2026La Liga Real Madrid

4 - 1

Real Sociedad W

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10

17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München

6 - 1

RB Leipzig L

13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig

1 - 0

PSV Eindhoven W

10 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig

6 - 0

Eintracht Frankfurt W

20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen

2 - 0

RB Leipzig L

13 Sep 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig

5 - 0

Hamburger SV W

10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Como

4 - 1

RB Leipzig L

05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Werder Bremen

3 - 1

RB Leipzig L

29 Aug 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig

3 - 0

Borussia Mönchengladbach W

22 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Eintracht Trier

0 - 6

RB Leipzig W

15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Bayern München

3 - 1

RB Leipzig L

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Real Madrid RB Leipzig

Side by side

Real Madrid RB Leipzig

2 Played 2

2 Won 1

0 Drawn 0

0 Lost 1

3 Goals scored per game 1

2 Goals conceded per game 2

2 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1

0 Clean sheets 1

0 Failed to score 0

2 Longest winning run 0

2-1 Biggest win 1-0

- Biggest defeat 4-1

0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Real Madrid

RB Leipzig (H) 21 Oct

Barcelona (A) 25 Oct

Racing Santander (A) 01 Nov

AEK Athens FC (A) 04 Nov

Valencia (A) 07 Nov

RB Leipzig

Real Madrid (A) 21 Oct

SV Elversberg (H) 24 Oct

Rot-Weiß Essen (A) 27 Oct

FC Schalke 04 (A) 31 Oct

Manchester City (H) 04 Nov

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Real Madrid

R. Asencio Broken Leg

F. Mendy Hip Injury

Rodrygo Knee Injury

RB Leipzig

C. Baumgartner Thigh Injury

M. Guiu Hamstring Injury

A. Ouedraogo Shoulder Injury

L. Zingerle Off the roster

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365

Real Madrid 1.25 80% implied Our tip

Draw 6.50 15% implied

RB Leipzig 10.00 10% implied

Real Madrid 1.07 93% implied Our tip

RB Leipzig 9.00 11% implied

Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied

Under 0.5 29.00 3% implied

Over 1.5 1.06 94% implied

Under 1.5 10.00 10% implied

Over 2.5 1.22 82% implied

Under 2.5 4.33 23% implied

Over 3.5 1.57 64% implied

Under 3.5 2.38 42% implied

Over 4.5 2.30 43% implied

Under 4.5 1.62 62% implied

Real Madrid/Draw 19.00 5% implied

Real Madrid/RB Leipzig 41.00 2% implied

Draw/RB Leipzig 23.00 4% implied

Draw/Draw 12.00 8% implied

Real Madrid/Real Madrid 1.67 60% implied

Draw/Real Madrid 4.33 23% implied

RB Leipzig/Real Madrid 13.00 8% implied

RB Leipzig/Draw 21.00 5% implied

RB Leipzig/RB Leipzig 17.00 6% implied

Yes 1.50 67% implied

No 2.50 40% implied

2:1 10.00 10% implied

3:1 10.00 10% implied

2:0 11.00 9% implied

3:0 11.00 9% implied

4:0 13.00 8% implied

4:1 13.00 8% implied

1:1 15.00 7% implied

1:0 17.00 6% implied

Real Madrid/Draw 1.06 94% implied

Real Madrid/RB Leipzig 1.11 90% implied

Draw/RB Leipzig 3.75 27% implied

Real Madrid 1.57 64% implied Our tip

Draw 3.25 31% implied

RB Leipzig 7.50 13% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: preview and prediction

Real Madrid host RB Leipzig in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 19:00 at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid. Real Madrid sit 8th in the table and RB Leipzig 21st. Real Madrid are 3 points ahead (6 to 3).

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
8	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	6:4	+2	6
21	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3

Full UEFA Champions League standings

Real Madrid are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W). RB Leipzig are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-L).

In the last 4 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, RB Leipzig won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Real Madrid and 1 for RB Leipzig. It gives Real Madrid the edge (76% home win, 13% draw, 9% away win), 75% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Verdict: our pick is Free Tip (1) at odds of 1.29.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.29 odds).

Who will win Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Real Madrid are favourites: our model gives Real Madrid 76%, the draw 13% and RB Leipzig 9%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 19:00 at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

World: UEFA Champions League

Expert Prediction · Free Tip

Match Odds · Bet365

All Our Tips For This Match

Head to head

UEFA Champions League table

Top scorers

Who wins? Three ways to read it

Most likely scores

Goal lines

Team comparison

Recent form

Season numbers

When the goals come

Side by side

What comes next

Missing players

Betting markets

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: preview and prediction

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig FAQs

More UEFA Champions League Tips