Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden

Match Analysis & Predictions

Jamaica: Premier League

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 20:00 Regular Season - 6
Tivoli Gardens Tivoli Gardens
4th in table
DDWLW
3 VS 0
Finished
HT 1 - 0
Dunbeholden Dunbeholden
12th in table
LLLWL
45+3' O. Pennycooke (Own Goal)
90+4' B. Pryce
90+6' A. Johnson

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.67 (83% chance) Won

Winner : Tivoli Gardens
83% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.73 52% implied

Draw

3.50 26% implied

Away Win

4.10 22% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.67
Double Chance 1X @ 1.15

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Tivoli Gardens wins
2Draws
3Dunbeholden wins
3.1Goals per game
67%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 2 - 0 Dunbeholden
08 Mar 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 2 - 1 Dunbeholden
21 Dec 2025Premier League Dunbeholden 1 - 0 Tivoli Gardens
19 Mar 2025Premier League Dunbeholden 2 - 4 Tivoli Gardens
19 Jan 2025Premier League Tivoli Gardens 2 - 0 Dunbeholden
21 Nov 2024Premier League Dunbeholden 2 - 1 Tivoli Gardens
10 Mar 2024Premier League Tivoli Gardens 1 - 1 Dunbeholden
10 Dec 2023Premier League Dunbeholden 2 - 2 Tivoli Gardens
05 Mar 2023Premier League Dunbeholden 4 - 1 Tivoli Gardens

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Montego Bay United 6420 9:3 +6 14 DWWWD
2 Racing United 5401 14:6 +8 12 WWLWW
3 Waterhouse 5320 15:2 +13 11 DDWWW
4 Tivoli Gardens 6321 13:6 +7 11 WLWDD
5 Tru-Juice 6321 10:3 +7 11 WDLWD
6 Chapelton 6222 4:10 -6 8 WDLDW
7 Cavalier 4211 7:7 0 7 LDWW
8 Portmore United 3120 6:3 +3 5 DDW
9 Arnett Gardens 5122 10:9 +1 5 DDLWL
10 Mount Pleasant Academy 4112 3:6 -3 4 DWLL
11 Molynes United 5104 4:12 -8 3 LLLLW
12 Dunbeholden 6105 2:11 -9 3 LWLLL
13 Treasure Beach 5023 4:8 -4 2 LDLDL
14 Humble Lions 6024 2:17 -15 2 LDDLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Tivoli Gardens Draw Dunbeholden
Value spotted: Tivoli Gardens win at 1.73 (model 62% vs market 52%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.4%
1-1 9.2%
1-0 8.8%
3-1 7.1%
3-0 6.8%

Expected goals: 2.15 Tivoli Gardens · 1.05 Dunbeholden

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score57%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
73%
Form
27%
83%
Attack
17%
57%
Defence
43%
100%
Goal model
0%
80%
Head to head
20%
71%
Goals
29%
72%
Overall
27%

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 3 - 0 Dunbeholden W
12 Oct 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 3 - 4 Racing United L
04 Oct 2026Premier League Tru-Juice 0 - 2 Tivoli Gardens W
27 Sep 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 1 - 1 Chapelton D
20 Sep 2026Premier League Treasure Beach 1 - 1 Tivoli Gardens D
13 Sep 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 3 - 0 Humble Lions W
06 May 2026Premier League Portmore United 3 - 0 Tivoli Gardens L
03 May 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 0 - 2 Cavalier L
30 Apr 2026Premier League Treasure Beach 4 - 2 Tivoli Gardens L
27 Apr 2026Premier League Molynes United 2 - 0 Tivoli Gardens L
2 W 0 D 8 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Premier League Tivoli Gardens 3 - 0 Dunbeholden L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Dunbeholden 1 - 0 Molynes United W
04 Oct 2026Premier League Montego Bay United 1 - 0 Dunbeholden L
27 Sep 2026Premier League Dunbeholden 0 - 2 Mount Pleasant Academy L
22 Sep 2026Premier League Arnett Gardens 3 - 0 Dunbeholden L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Dunbeholden 1 - 2 Cavalier L
06 May 2026Premier League Waterhouse 4 - 0 Dunbeholden L
03 May 2026Premier League Dunbeholden 0 - 5 Mount Pleasant Academy L
26 Apr 2026Premier League Treasure Beach 1 - 0 Dunbeholden L
23 Apr 2026Premier League Dunbeholden 4 - 0 Harbour View W

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Tivoli Gardens Dunbeholden

Side by side

Tivoli Gardens Dunbeholden
5 Played 5
2 Won 1
2 Drawn 0
1 Lost 4
2 Goals scored per game 0.4
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.6
2.3 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 0
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 0
3-0 Biggest win 1-0
3-4 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/1

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Tivoli Gardens 1.73 58% implied Our tip
Draw 3.50 29% implied
Dunbeholden 4.10 24% implied
Tivoli Gardens 1.36 74% implied Our tip
Dunbeholden 3.00 33% implied
Over 2.5 1.73 58% implied
Under 2.5 2.08 48% implied
Tivoli Gardens/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Tivoli Gardens/Dunbeholden 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Dunbeholden 9.00 11% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
Tivoli Gardens/Tivoli Gardens 2.75 36% implied
Draw/Tivoli Gardens 5.00 20% implied
Dunbeholden/Tivoli Gardens 21.00 5% implied
Dunbeholden/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Dunbeholden/Dunbeholden 6.00 17% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
1:0 8.50 12% implied
2:0 9.50 11% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
0:0 12.00 8% implied
3:0 15.00 7% implied
3:1 15.00 7% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
Tivoli Gardens/Draw 1.17 85% implied Our tip
Tivoli Gardens/Dunbeholden 1.22 82% implied
Draw/Dunbeholden 1.91 52% implied
Tivoli Gardens 2.30 43% implied Our tip
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Dunbeholden 4.00 25% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden: preview and prediction

Tivoli Gardens host Dunbeholden in the Jamaica Premier League (Regular Season - 6) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 20:00. Tivoli Gardens sit 4th in the table and Dunbeholden 12th. Tivoli Gardens are 8 points ahead (11 to 3).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
4 Tivoli Gardens 6321 13:6 +7 11
12 Dunbeholden 6105 2:11 -9 3

Full Premier League standings

Tivoli Gardens have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-W-L-W). Dunbeholden are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Tivoli Gardens won 4, Dunbeholden won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.15 goals for Tivoli Gardens and 1.05 for Dunbeholden. It gives Tivoli Gardens the edge (62% home win, 20% draw, 18% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win (1) at odds of 1.67. We also like Double Chance (1X).

Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.67 odds).

Who will win Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden?

Tivoli Gardens are favourites: our model gives Tivoli Gardens 62%, the draw 20% and Dunbeholden 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 57% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 20:00.

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