Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico

Match Analysis & Predictions

Mexico: Liga Premier Serie A

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 22:00 Apertura - 8
Real Refineros Real Refineros
7th in table
DDLLD
3 VS 3
Finished
HT 1 - 1
Guerreros del Pacifico Guerreros del Pacifico
8th in table
LWDLD
23'
30'
52'
66'
71'
90+4'
120+1' (Penalty)
120+1' (Penalty)
120+2' (Penalty)
120+3' (Penalty)
120+3' (Penalty)
120+4' (Penalty)
120+5' (Penalty)

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.36 (84% chance) Lost

Double chance : Real Refineros or draw
84% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win

2.15 42% implied

Draw

3.30 27% implied

Away Win

2.90 31% implied

Liga Premier Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Mineros de Fresnillo 8431 12:4 +8 16 DWWLW
2 Vaqueros Reynosa 8512 15:13 +2 16 LWWWL
3 FC Santiago 8413 14:7 +7 14 WWDLW
4 Correcaminos UAT II 8422 12:9 +3 14 WWWWL
5 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 7403 15:10 +5 13 LLWWL
6 Acatlan 7412 12:10 +2 13 LWWDW
7 Guerreros 7223 10:12 -2 9 DDWLW
8 Atlético Saltillo 7304 10:17 -7 8 LWOLW
9 Real Apodaca 8116 7:16 -9 4 LLLLW
10 Héroes de Zaci 6015 3:12 -9 2 LLOLD
1 Artesanos Metepec 8620 17:5 +12 21 DDWWW
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 8521 19:8 +11 19 WWLOW
3 Acambaro 8512 27:10 +17 16 WWLLW
4 Halcones Negros 8413 20:12 +8 14 LWWWL
5 Delfines Coatzacoalcos 8332 11:10 +1 12 DWOLO
6 Calor de San Pedro 7313 15:15 0 12 LWWLW
7 Real Refineros 8314 14:16 -2 9 LLOWO
8 Guerreros del Pacifico 7214 8:12 -4 9 OLDWL
9 Ciervos 8206 8:25 -17 5 LLWOL
10 Cañoneros Marina 8008 3:29 -26 0 LLLLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Real Refineros Draw Guerreros del Pacifico
Value spotted: Real Refineros win at 2.15 (model 48% vs market 42%)

Most likely scores

2-1 8.6%
1-1 8.1%
2-2 7.1%
1-2 6.7%
3-1 6%
2-0 5.2%

Expected goals: 2.1 Real Refineros · 1.65 Guerreros del Pacifico

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
77%
Attack
23%
43%
Defence
57%
53%
Goal model
47%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
55%
Overall
44%

Recent form

1 W 4 D 3 L in the last 8
17 Oct 2026Liga Premier Serie A Real Refineros 3 - 3 Guerreros del Pacifico D
10 Oct 2026Liga Premier Serie A Real Refineros 2 - 3 Halcones Negros L
04 Oct 2026Liga Premier Serie A Dragones de Oaxaca 3 - 2 Real Refineros L
25 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Real Refineros 3 - 3 Ciervos D
20 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Delfines Coatzacoalcos 2 - 2 Real Refineros D
12 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Real Refineros 0 - 0 Calor de San Pedro D
06 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Cañoneros Marina 0 - 1 Real Refineros W
29 Aug 2026Liga Premier Serie A Real Refineros 1 - 2 Artesanos Metepec L
2 W 2 D 3 L in the last 7
17 Oct 2026Liga Premier Serie A Real Refineros 3 - 3 Guerreros del Pacifico D
13 Oct 2026Liga Premier Serie A Dragones de Oaxaca 5 - 1 Guerreros del Pacifico L
03 Oct 2026Liga Premier Serie A Guerreros del Pacifico 0 - 0 Delfines Coatzacoalcos D
26 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Cañoneros Marina 0 - 2 Guerreros del Pacifico W
19 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Guerreros del Pacifico 0 - 1 Acambaro L
13 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Halcones Negros 3 - 0 Guerreros del Pacifico L
05 Sep 2026Liga Premier Serie A Guerreros del Pacifico 2 - 0 Ciervos W

Season numbers

Liga Premier Serie A 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Real Refineros Guerreros del Pacifico

Side by side

Real Refineros Guerreros del Pacifico
7 Played 6
2 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
4 Lost 3
1.7 Goals scored per game 0.8
2 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.5 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 1
2 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 1
2-3 Biggest win 2-0
3-4 Biggest defeat 0-1
5/5 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Real Refineros
FC Santiago (A) 27 Oct
Guerreros (H) 31 Oct
Acatlan (A) 07 Nov
Atlético Saltillo (H) 14 Nov
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez (A) 22 Nov
Guerreros del Pacifico
Calor de San Pedro (A) 22 Oct
Real Apodaca (A) 25 Oct
Héroes de Zaci (H) 31 Oct
Guerreros (A) 08 Nov
FC Santiago (H) 14 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico: preview and prediction

Real Refineros host Guerreros del Pacifico in the Mexico Liga Premier Serie A (Apertura - 8) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 22:00. Real Refineros sit 7th in the table and Guerreros del Pacifico 8th. Both sides are level on 9 points.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
7 Real Refineros 8314 14:16 -2 9
8 Guerreros del Pacifico 7214 8:12 -4 9

Full Liga Premier Serie A standings

Real Refineros are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-L-D). Guerreros del Pacifico have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-L-D).

Our goal model expects about 2.1 goals for Real Refineros and 1.65 for Guerreros del Pacifico. It gives Real Refineros the edge (48% home win, 21% draw, 31% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.36.

Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Who will win Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico?

Real Refineros are favourites: our model gives Real Refineros 48%, the draw 21% and Guerreros del Pacifico 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 22:00.

More Liga Premier Serie A Tips

00:00 Artesanos Metepec Dragones de Oaxaca 1 02:00 Halcones Negros Acambaro 1X