CD Marathon vs Olancho

Match Analysis & Predictions

Honduras: Liga Nacional

Thu, 15th Oct, 2026 • 23:15 Apertura - 10
CD Marathon CD Marathon
2nd in table
WLLDW
2 VS 1
Finished
HT 2 - 0
Olancho Olancho
5th in table
DDDDL
2' D. Ramirez
7' N. Messiniti
13' N. Messiniti
45+2' H. Gomez
65' S. Pozantes
67' J. Lasso
75' O. Padilla
77' S. Pozantes

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.22 (88% chance) Won

Combo Double chance : CD Marathon or draw and -3.5 goals
88% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.67 53% implied

Draw

3.50 25% implied

Away Win

4.10 22% implied
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5CD Marathon wins
2Draws
2Olancho wins
2.3Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
12 Apr 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 0 - 2 Olancho
21 Feb 2026Liga Nacional Olancho 1 - 1 CD Marathon
28 Dec 2025Liga Nacional CD Marathon 2 - 1 Olancho
12 Dec 2025Liga Nacional Olancho 0 - 3 CD Marathon
01 Nov 2025Liga Nacional CD Marathon 2 - 1 Olancho
24 Aug 2025Liga Nacional Olancho 1 - 1 CD Marathon
12 Apr 2025Liga Nacional Olancho 0 - 1 CD Marathon
14 Feb 2025Liga Nacional CD Marathon 2 - 0 Olancho
09 Dec 2024Liga Nacional CD Marathon 1 - 2 Olancho

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 CD Olimpia 10721 22:8 +14 23 WWWLW
2 CD Marathon 10631 16:7 +9 21 WDLWW
3 Real Espana 10631 15:6 +9 21 LWWDW
4 CD Motagua 9513 13:9 +4 16 WLWDW
5 Olancho 10262 8:8 0 12 LDDDD
6 Génesis 9324 10:7 +3 11 LDLWL
7 Atletico Independiente 9243 8:12 -4 10 DLWDL
8 Estrella Roja 9234 13:17 -4 9 LLDLD
9 Lobos Upnfm 9234 7:12 -5 9 DWWLL
10 Platense FC 9225 8:19 -11 8 WLDLW
11 Atlético Choloma 9216 7:10 -3 7 LWLDL
12 Juticalpa 9207 9:21 -12 6 LWLLW

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
CD Marathon Draw Olancho

Most likely scores

1-0 22.6%
0-0 17.4%
2-0 14.7%
1-1 10.2%
0-1 7.8%
2-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.3 CD Marathon · 0.45 Olancho

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams score26%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
71%
Form
29%
77%
Attack
23%
50%
Defence
50%
83%
Goal model
17%
71%
Head to head
29%
62%
Goals
38%
69%
Overall
31%

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 2 - 1 Olancho W
11 Oct 2026Liga Nacional Lobos Upnfm 0 - 0 CD Marathon D
21 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Juticalpa 3 - 2 CD Marathon L
18 Sep 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup LD Alajuelense 3 - 1 CD Marathon L
13 Sep 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 1 - 0 CD Olimpia W
11 Sep 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 2 - 2 LD Alajuelense D
06 Sep 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 5 - 0 Estrella Roja W
29 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Génesis 1 - 2 CD Marathon W
27 Aug 2026CONCACAF Central American Cup CD Marathon 3 - 0 Real Estelí W
23 Aug 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 1 - 1 Real Espana D
2 W 6 D 2 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026Liga Nacional CD Marathon 2 - 1 Olancho L
11 Oct 2026Liga Nacional Olancho 1 - 1 Atletico Independiente D
19 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Génesis 0 - 0 Olancho D
12 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Olancho 1 - 1 Real Espana D
05 Sep 2026Liga Nacional Atlético Choloma 0 - 0 Olancho D
30 Aug 2026Liga Nacional CD Motagua 2 - 1 Olancho L
23 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Olancho 1 - 1 CD Olimpia D
17 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Olancho 1 - 0 Juticalpa W
08 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Lobos Upnfm 1 - 1 Olancho D
02 Aug 2026Liga Nacional Estrella Roja 0 - 1 Olancho W

Season numbers

Liga Nacional 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
3
CD Marathon Olancho

Side by side

CD Marathon Olancho
9 Played 9
5 Won 2
3 Drawn 6
1 Lost 1
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.8
0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.7
2 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0.6
5 Clean sheets 4
1 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 1
5-0 Biggest win 1-0
3-2 Biggest defeat 2-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

CD Marathon
Alianza (H) 21 Oct
Atletico Independiente (A) 25 Oct
Alianza (A) 28 Oct
CD Motagua (A) 01 Nov
Platense FC (H) 06 Nov
Olancho
Estrella Roja (H) 24 Oct
Platense FC (H) 01 Nov
Lobos Upnfm (H) 04 Nov
CD Olimpia (A) 08 Nov
Juticalpa (A) 19 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
CD Marathon 1.67 60% implied
Draw 3.50 29% implied
Olancho 4.10 24% implied
CD Marathon 1.33 75% implied
Olancho 3.25 31% implied
Over 2.5 1.75 57% implied
Under 2.5 2.05 49% implied
CD Marathon/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
CD Marathon/Olancho 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Olancho 9.00 11% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50 15% implied
CD Marathon/CD Marathon 2.62 38% implied
Draw/CD Marathon 4.75 21% implied
Olancho/CD Marathon 21.00 5% implied
Olancho/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Olancho/Olancho 6.50 15% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
1:0 8.00 13% implied
2:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
0:0 11.00 9% implied
3:0 13.00 8% implied
3:1 15.00 7% implied
0:1 15.00 7% implied
CD Marathon/Draw 1.17 85% implied Our tip
CD Marathon/Olancho 1.22 82% implied
Draw/Olancho 2.00 50% implied
CD Marathon 2.25 44% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Olancho 4.33 23% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

CD Marathon vs Olancho: preview and prediction

CD Marathon host Olancho in the Honduras Liga Nacional (Apertura - 10) on Thursday, 15th October 2026 at 23:15 at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula. CD Marathon sit 2nd in the table and Olancho 5th. CD Marathon are 9 points ahead (21 to 12).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
2 CD Marathon 10631 16:7 +9 21
5 Olancho 10262 8:8 0 12

Full Liga Nacional standings

CD Marathon have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-W). Olancho are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-D-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, CD Marathon won 5, Olancho won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for CD Marathon and 0.45 for Olancho. It gives CD Marathon the edge (58% home win, 29% draw, 13% away win), 26% for over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.22.

CD Marathon vs Olancho FAQs

What is the best prediction for CD Marathon vs Olancho?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.22 odds).

Who will win CD Marathon vs Olancho?

CD Marathon are favourites: our model gives CD Marathon 58%, the draw 29% and Olancho 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 26% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.8 goals in total, with a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is CD Marathon vs Olancho?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 15th October 2026 at 23:15 at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula.

More Liga Nacional Tips

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