Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg

Match Analysis & Predictions

Germany: Bundesliga

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 13:30 Regular Season - 6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4th in table
WWWWW
2 VS 1
Finished
HT 1 - 1
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
3rd in table
DWWWL
14' Derry Lionel Scherhant
19' Ibrahim Maza
39' Philipp Treu
76' Patrik Schick

Expert Prediction · Both Teams Score

BTS @ 1.50 (64% chance) Won

Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw
64% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.62 58% implied

Draw

4.50 21% implied

Away Win

4.50 21% implied
BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen Florian Badstubner

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Bayer Leverkusen wins
3Draws
1SC Freiburg wins
4Goals per game
89%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
07 Mar 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 3 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen
26 Oct 2025Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 SC Freiburg
04 May 2025Bundesliga SC Freiburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen
21 Dec 2024Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 5 - 1 SC Freiburg
17 Mar 2024Bundesliga SC Freiburg 2 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen
29 Oct 2023Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg
26 Feb 2023Bundesliga SC Freiburg 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen
03 Sep 2022Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 3 SC Freiburg
14 May 2022Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 6420 22:5 +17 14 WDWWD
2 Borussia Dortmund 6420 11:4 +7 14 DDWWW
3 SC Freiburg 6411 15:6 +9 13 LWDWW
4 Bayer Leverkusen 6411 16:9 +7 13 WWWDW
5 FSV Mainz 05 6312 14:10 +4 10 WLWLW
6 SV Elversberg 6312 12:11 +1 10 WLDLW
7 RB Leipzig 6303 16:11 +5 9 LWLWL
8 Werder Bremen 6231 12:12 0 9 DDWDW
9 Hamburger SV 6303 6:15 -9 9 WWWLL
10 FC Augsburg 6222 16:12 +4 8 LDLDW
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6222 10:16 -6 8 WLDWL
12 1. FC Köln 6213 8:11 -3 7 LWLDL
13 VfB Stuttgart 6204 8:10 -2 6 LWLLW
14 1899 Hoffenheim 6204 11:14 -3 6 WLLWL
15 FC Schalke 04 6123 4:7 -3 5 LLDWD
16 SC Paderborn 07 6123 5:9 -4 5 DLWLL
17 Union Berlin 6123 5:17 -12 5 DWLLL
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 6006 8:20 -12 0 LLLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 6goals 2assists 6apps
2 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 6goals 0assists 6apps
3 M. OliseBayern München 5goals 2assists 6apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 5goals 1assists 6apps
5 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 6apps
6 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps
7 L. DíazBayern München 4goals 1assists 6apps
8 Y. SuzukiSC Freiburg 4goals 0assists 5apps
9 H. KaneBayern München 4goals 5assists 6apps
10 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 4goals 0assists 6apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Bayer Leverkusen Draw SC Freiburg
Value spotted: SC Freiburg win at 4.50 (model 30% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 8.9%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 6.9%
2-2 6.9%
3-1 5.9%
1-0 5.7%

Expected goals: 2 Bayer Leverkusen · 1.55 SC Freiburg

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
50%
Attack
50%
33%
Defence
67%
100%
Goal model
0%
85%
Head to head
15%
65%
Goals
35%
55%
Overall
44%

Recent form

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Lech Poznan 0 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 Celje W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen D
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin W
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen L
22 Aug 2026DFB Pokal SV Wehen 0 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Newcastle 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League SC Freiburg 3 - 2 FK Jablonec W
11 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Schalke 04 W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs SC Freiburg 4 - 2 FC Luzern W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2 SC Freiburg D
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 5 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg W
30 Aug 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 4 - 1 Werder Bremen W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League SC Freiburg 4 - 1 Motherwell W
23 Aug 2026DFB Pokal Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 - 5 SC Freiburg W

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
4
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Bayer Leverkusen SC Freiburg

Side by side

Bayer Leverkusen SC Freiburg
5 Played 5
3 Won 4
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
2.8 Goals scored per game 2.8
1.6 Goals conceded per game 0.8
3 / 2.7 Scored per game (home / away) 3.7 / 1.5
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 3
4-0 Biggest win 5-0
3-2 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Bayer Leverkusen
OFI (A) 22 Oct
1899 Hoffenheim (A) 25 Oct
1. FC Nürnberg (H) 28 Oct
VfB Stuttgart (H) 31 Oct
Marseille (H) 05 Nov
SC Freiburg
Monaco (A) 22 Oct
Bayern München (H) 25 Oct
VfL Wolfsburg (H) 28 Oct
FC Augsburg (A) 31 Oct
Trabzonspor (A) 05 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Bayer Leverkusen
E. Ben Seghir Muscle Injury
M. Culbreath Foot Injury
G. Doue Calf Injury
K. Eichhorn Illness
C. Kofane Muscle Injury
M. Terrier Muscle Injury
SC Freiburg
Y. Suzuki Red Card
B. Yilmaz Lacking Match Fitness

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Bayer Leverkusen 1.62 62% implied
Draw 4.50 22% implied
SC Freiburg 4.50 22% implied
Bayer Leverkusen 1.25 80% implied
SC Freiburg 3.75 27% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 21.00 5% implied
Over 1.5 1.12 89% implied
Under 1.5 6.00 17% implied
Over 2.5 1.44 69% implied
Under 2.5 2.75 36% implied
Over 3.5 2.10 48% implied
Under 3.5 1.73 58% implied
Over 4.5 3.50 29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30 77% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/SC Freiburg 29.00 3% implied
Draw/SC Freiburg 11.00 9% implied
Draw/Draw 7.50 13% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen 2.40 42% implied
Draw/Bayer Leverkusen 5.00 20% implied
SC Freiburg/Bayer Leverkusen 17.00 6% implied
SC Freiburg/Draw 15.00 7% implied
SC Freiburg/SC Freiburg 7.50 13% implied
Yes 1.50 67% implied
No 2.50 40% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:1 9.00 11% implied
2:0 10.00 10% implied
1:0 11.00 9% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
3:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
3:2 17.00 6% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/Draw 1.17 85% implied
Bayer Leverkusen/SC Freiburg 1.18 85% implied
Draw/SC Freiburg 2.30 43% implied
Bayer Leverkusen 2.05 49% implied
Draw 2.62 38% implied
SC Freiburg 4.75 21% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: preview and prediction

Bayer Leverkusen host SC Freiburg in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 13:30 at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th in the table and SC Freiburg 3rd. Both sides are level on 13 points.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 SC Freiburg 6411 15:6 +9 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 6411 16:9 +7 13

Full Bundesliga standings

Bayer Leverkusen are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). SC Freiburg are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 5, SC Freiburg won 1 and 3 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 89% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.55 for SC Freiburg. It gives Bayer Leverkusen the edge (48% home win, 22% draw, 30% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Both Teams Score (BTS) at odds of 1.50.

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

Our top tip is Both Teams Score: BTS (1.50 odds).

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

Bayer Leverkusen are favourites: our model gives Bayer Leverkusen 48%, the draw 22% and SC Freiburg 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 89% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 13:30 at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen.

Who is the referee?

Florian Badstubner is in charge of this game.

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