Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato

Match Analysis & Predictions

Argentina: Primera Nacional

Mon, 2nd Nov, 2026 • 18:00 Regular Season - 36
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
11th in table
LLLWD
- VS -
Upcoming
Patronato Patronato
16th in table
WLWLL

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.49 (67% chance)

Combo Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw and -3.5 goals
67% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.75 33% implied

Draw

3.10 29% implied

Away Win

2.45 37% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance 1X @ 1.49
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.54
Free Tip 1X @ 1.49
Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
1Atletico DE Rafaela wins
1Draws
0Patronato wins
1.5Goals per game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
14 Jun 2026Primera Nacional Patronato 0 - 0 Atletico DE Rafaela
17 Dec 2016Liga Profesional Argentina Atletico DE Rafaela 3 - 0 Patronato

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Tristan Suarez 3516154 34:16 +18 63 DWDDW
2 Atlanta 3519412 42:34 +8 61 WLWWW
3 Temperley 3516127 41:29 +12 60 LDWWL
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 3516109 52:44 +8 58 LWDLD
5 Midland 3515911 43:29 +14 54 WLWDL
6 Gimnasia Y Tiro 35141011 37:34 +3 52 LWDLW
7 Deportivo Maipu 3514912 43:34 +9 51 WLDWW
8 Colegiales 3514912 36:32 +4 51 DWDWW
9 San Martin S.J. 35121211 37:35 +2 48 DDDLL
10 San Martin Tucuman 35111311 39:37 +2 46 LWLWD
11 Atletico DE Rafaela 35121013 29:35 -6 46 DWLLL
12 Agropecuario 35111014 29:38 -9 43 WLWDL
13 Quilmes 3511915 32:30 +2 42 WLLDW
14 Almagro 3511915 32:42 -10 42 DLWWL
15 Chacarita Juniors 3511618 27:35 -8 39 WWLWL
16 Patronato 3571612 29:35 -6 37 LLWLW
17 Nueva Chicago 3591016 25:34 -9 37 DLLLW
18 Club Atlético Güemes 356821 26:60 -34 26 LWLLL

Top scorers

Primera Nacional
1 A. RuizNueva Chicago 2goals 0assists 6apps
2 M. MeliDeportivo Madryn 1goals 1assists 13apps
3 J. CorreaCA Estudiantes 0goals 1assists 18apps
4 B. GómezDefensores De Belgrano 0goals 1assists 14apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Atletico DE Rafaela Draw Patronato
Value spotted: Atletico DE Rafaela win at 2.75 (model 52% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

1-0 20.9%
0-0 17.4%
2-0 12.5%
1-1 11.5%
0-1 9.6%
2-1 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.2 Atletico DE Rafaela · 0.55 Patronato

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams score30%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
44%
Attack
56%
31%
Defence
69%
75%
Goal model
25%
80%
Head to head
20%
100%
Goals
0%
54%
Overall
46%

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Colegiales 1 - 1 Atletico DE Rafaela D
17 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Quilmes W
10 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Midland 4 - 0 Atletico DE Rafaela L
04 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 3 Atlanta L
27 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Atletico DE Rafaela L
19 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Atletico DE Rafaela 4 - 2 San Martin Tucuman W
13 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Gimnasia Jujuy 2 - 1 Atletico DE Rafaela L
06 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Agropecuario 2 - 0 Atletico DE Rafaela L
29 Aug 2026Primera Nacional Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 1 Tristan Suarez W
24 Aug 2026Primera Nacional Club Atlético Güemes 0 - 0 Atletico DE Rafaela D
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Patronato 0 - 2 Agropecuario L
17 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Tristan Suarez 1 - 0 Patronato L
11 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Patronato 2 - 0 Club Atlético Güemes W
04 Oct 2026Primera Nacional Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Patronato L
27 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Patronato 3 - 0 San Martin S.J. W
21 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Nueva Chicago 1 - 1 Patronato D
13 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Patronato 0 - 0 Temperley D
06 Sep 2026Primera Nacional Deportivo Maipu 0 - 0 Patronato D
30 Aug 2026Primera Nacional Patronato 0 - 1 Almagro L
26 Aug 2026Primera Nacional Patronato 2 - 0 Atlanta W

Season numbers

Primera Nacional 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
5
3
31-45'
7
6
46-60'
4
6
61-75'
4
6
76-90'
4
5
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
5
9
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
9
4
61-75'
8
11
76-90'
7
Atletico DE Rafaela Patronato

Side by side

Atletico DE Rafaela Patronato
35 Played 35
12 Won 7
10 Drawn 16
13 Lost 12
0.8 Goals scored per game 0.8
1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.3 / 0.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 0.4
16 Clean sheets 13
14 Failed to score 18
3 Longest winning run 1
4-1 Biggest win 3-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
1/1 Penalties scored 3/4

What comes next

Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato (H) 02 Nov
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela (A) 02 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Atletico DE Rafaela 2.75 36% implied
Draw 3.10 32% implied
Patronato 2.45 41% implied
Atletico DE Rafaela 2.00 50% implied
Patronato 1.73 58% implied
Over 2.5 2.88 35% implied
Under 2.5 1.40 71% implied
Atletico DE Rafaela/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Atletico DE Rafaela/Patronato 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Patronato 5.50 18% implied
Draw/Draw 4.00 25% implied
Atletico DE Rafaela/Atletico DE Rafaela 5.50 18% implied
Draw/Atletico DE Rafaela 6.50 15% implied
Patronato/Atletico DE Rafaela 41.00 2% implied
Patronato/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Patronato/Patronato 4.33 23% implied
0:1 5.50 18% implied
0:0 6.00 17% implied
1:0 6.50 15% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
0:2 10.00 10% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
Atletico DE Rafaela/Draw 1.53 65% implied Our tip
Atletico DE Rafaela/Patronato 1.36 74% implied
Draw/Patronato 1.40 71% implied
Atletico DE Rafaela 4.00 25% implied
Draw 1.83 55% implied
Patronato 3.40 29% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato: preview and prediction

Atletico DE Rafaela host Patronato in the Argentina Primera Nacional (Regular Season - 36) on Monday, 2nd November 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela. Atletico DE Rafaela sit 11th in the table and Patronato 16th. Atletico DE Rafaela are 9 points ahead (46 to 37).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
11 Atletico DE Rafaela 35121013 29:35 -6 46
16 Patronato 3571612 29:35 -6 37

Full Primera Nacional standings

Atletico DE Rafaela are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-D). Patronato are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-L).

In the last 2 meetings, Atletico DE Rafaela won 1, Patronato won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.55 for Patronato. It gives Atletico DE Rafaela the edge (52% home win, 31% draw, 17% away win), 26% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Verdict: our pick is Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.49. We also like Ov 1.5.

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.49 odds).

Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

Atletico DE Rafaela are favourites: our model gives Atletico DE Rafaela 52%, the draw 31% and Patronato 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 30% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.8 goals in total, with a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato?

Kick-off is on Monday, 2nd November 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela.

More Primera Nacional Tips