Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo

Match Analysis & Predictions

World: CONMEBOL Libertadores

Fri, 16th Oct, 2026 • 00:30 Semi-finals

Estudiantes L.P.

2nd in table

LLWDD

0 VS 0

Finished

HT 0 - 0

Flamengo

1st in table

DWDWD

35' Alexis Castro

43' Lucas Piovi

63' Lucas Paquetá

71' Jorge Carrascal

86' Guillermo Varela

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.25 (94% chance) Lost

Combo Double chance : draw or Flamengo and -3.5 goals

94% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

4.00 24% implied

Draw

3.20 30% implied

Away Win

2.10 46% implied

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata Juan Gabriel Benitez

Head to head

Last 4 meetings

4games

1Estudiantes L.P. wins

1Draws

2Flamengo wins

1.8Goals per game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

21 May 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo

1 - 0

Estudiantes L.P.

30 Apr 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P.

1 - 1

Flamengo

26 Sep 2025CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P.

1 - 0

Flamengo

19 Sep 2025CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo

2 - 1

Estudiantes L.P.

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	6	5	1	0	14:2	+12	16	WWDWW
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9	WLDDW
3	Independiente Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	-5	7	LWWLD
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	-8	1	LLDLL

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Libertadores

A. Arce

Independ. Rivadavia 9goals 0assists 7apps

C. González

Independiente del Valle 7goals 0assists 9apps

Bruno Henrique

Flamengo 5goals 2assists 10apps

F. Fydriszewski

Independiente Medellin 4goals 1assists 10apps

G. de Arrascaeta

Flamengo 4goals 1assists 7apps

F. Zampedri

U. Catolica 4goals 0assists 7apps

Matheus Pereira

Cruzeiro 4goals 1assists 8apps

L. Melgarejo

Libertad Asuncion 4goals 0assists 5apps

J. Arias

Palmeiras 3goals 2assists 10apps

M. Estrada

LDU de Quito 3goals 1assists 10apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Our goal model

27% 30% 43%

API-Football

10% 45% 45%

Bookmaker

24% 30% 46%

Estudiantes L.P. Draw Flamengo

Most likely scores

0-1 15.6%

0-0 13.5%

1-1 13.2%

1-0 11.5%

0-2 8.9%

1-2 7.6%

Expected goals: 0.85 Estudiantes L.P. · 1.15 Flamengo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%

Over 2.5 goals32%

Over 3.5 goals14%

Both teams score39%

Team comparison

50%

Form

50%

44%

Attack

56%

60%

Defence

40%

26%

Goal model

74%

20%

Head to head

80%

38%

Goals

63%

39%

Overall

60%

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10

16 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P.

0 - 0

Flamengo D

10 Oct 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Central Cordoba de Santiago

2 - 2

Estudiantes L.P. D

05 Oct 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Estudiantes L.P.

3 - 0

Gimnasia M. W

02 Oct 2026Copa Argentina Platense

1 - 0

Estudiantes L.P. L

26 Sep 2026Super Copa International Estudiantes L.P.

1 - 3

Rosario Central L

22 Sep 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Lanus

2 - 1

Estudiantes L.P. L

17 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Corinthians

0 - 1

Estudiantes L.P. W

12 Sep 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Estudiantes L.P.

2 - 1

Platense W

10 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P.

1 - 1

Corinthians D

06 Sep 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Velez Sarsfield

1 - 0

Estudiantes L.P. L

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10

16 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P.

0 - 0

Flamengo D

11 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo

1 - 0

Fluminense W

08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos

2 - 2

Flamengo D

20 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo

2 - 1

RB Bragantino W

18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo

1 - 1

Independiente del Valle D

13 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo

2 - 1

Corinthians W

11 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Independiente del Valle

0 - 2

Flamengo W

06 Sep 2026Serie A Remo

0 - 1

Flamengo W

02 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo

2 - 0

Mirassol W

30 Aug 2026Serie A Flamengo

3 - 0

Botafogo W

Season numbers

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo

Side by side

Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo

10 Played 9

4 Won 6

5 Drawn 3

1 Lost 0

1.2 Goals scored per game 1.9

0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.6

1.2 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 1.5

3 Clean sheets 4

1 Failed to score 0

1 Longest winning run 2

2-1 Biggest win 4-1

1-0 Biggest defeat -

0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Estudiantes L.P.

San Lorenzo (H) 18 Oct

Flamengo (A) 23 Oct

Union Santa Fe (A) 26 Oct

Instituto Cordoba (H) 01 Nov

Talleres Cordoba (A) 08 Nov

Flamengo

Bahia (A) 18 Oct

Estudiantes L.P. (H) 23 Oct

Atletico-MG (H) 26 Oct

Vasco DA Gama (A) 29 Oct

Gremio (H) 04 Nov

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365

Estudiantes L.P. 4.00 25% implied

Draw 3.20 31% implied

Flamengo 2.10 48% implied

Estudiantes L.P. 2.50 40% implied

Flamengo 1.50 67% implied

Over 0.5 1.12 89% implied

Under 0.5 6.00 17% implied

Over 1.5 1.62 62% implied

Under 1.5 2.20 45% implied

Over 2.5 2.88 35% implied

Under 2.5 1.40 71% implied

Over 3.5 6.50 15% implied

Under 3.5 1.11 90% implied

Over 4.5 15.00 7% implied

Under 4.5 1.03 97% implied

Estudiantes L.P./Draw 17.00 6% implied

Estudiantes L.P./Flamengo 34.00 3% implied

Draw/Flamengo 5.00 20% implied Our tip

Draw/Draw 4.00 25% implied

Estudiantes L.P./Estudiantes L.P. 6.50 15% implied

Draw/Estudiantes L.P. 7.50 13% implied

Flamengo/Estudiantes L.P. 41.00 2% implied

Flamengo/Draw 15.00 7% implied

Flamengo/Flamengo 3.60 28% implied

Yes 2.38 42% implied

No 1.53 65% implied

0:1 5.00 20% implied

0:0 5.50 18% implied

1:1 6.00 17% implied

1:0 7.50 13% implied

0:2 8.50 12% implied

1:2 10.00 10% implied

2:1 15.00 7% implied

2:0 17.00 6% implied

Estudiantes L.P./Draw 1.67 60% implied

Estudiantes L.P./Flamengo 1.36 74% implied

Draw/Flamengo 1.25 80% implied Our tip

Estudiantes L.P. 5.00 20% implied

Draw 1.91 52% implied

Flamengo 2.88 35% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo: preview and prediction

Estudiantes L.P. host Flamengo in the World CONMEBOL Libertadores (Semi-finals) on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 00:30 at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata. Estudiantes L.P. sit 2nd in the table and Flamengo 1st. Flamengo are 7 points ahead (16 to 9).

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	6	5	1	0	14:2	+12	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9

Full CONMEBOL Libertadores standings

Estudiantes L.P. have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-D). Flamengo have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-D).

In the last 4 meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 1, Flamengo won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Estudiantes L.P. and 1.15 for Flamengo. It gives Flamengo the edge (27% home win, 30% draw, 43% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.25.

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.25 odds).

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

Flamengo are favourites: our model gives Estudiantes L.P. 27%, the draw 30% and Flamengo 43%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 39% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?

Kick-off is on Friday, 16th October 2026 at 00:30 at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata.

Who is the referee?

Juan Gabriel Benitez is in charge of this game.