Barakaldo vs Mirandes

Match Analysis & Predictions

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 14:30 Group 1 - 8
Barakaldo Barakaldo
13th in table
LDDLW
2 VS 0
Finished
HT 1 - 0
Mirandes Mirandes
9th in table
DWLDL
8' A. Pena
29' A. Arambarri
32' J. Dorrio
33' X. Fernandez
36' P. Perez
37' A. Troncho
39' B. Gomez
45+7' A. Muguruza
57' A. Troncho
70' J. Gonzalez
81' P. Trigueros

Expert Prediction · Over/Under 1.5

Ov 1.5 @ 1.36 (64% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or Mirandes
64% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.20 41% implied

Draw

3.30 27% implied

Away Win

2.75 32% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.36
Double Chance X2 @ 1.44
Over/Under 2.5 Un 2.5 @ 1.67
Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.25
Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Barakaldo wins
1Draws
0Mirandes wins
2Goals per game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
28 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs Barakaldo 1 - 1 Mirandes

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lugo 8710 15:4 +11 22 WWWWW
2 UD Logroñés 7511 16:10 +6 16 LWWDW
3 Racing Ferrol 8512 9:5 +4 16 WWWLW
4 Athletic Club II 7331 12:8 +4 12 DLWDW
5 Cacereño 7331 7:4 +3 12 DLDWW
6 Zamora 8332 10:8 +2 12 DDWWL
7 Ponferradina 8332 6:6 0 12 DLWDW
8 Cultural Leonesa 7322 8:6 +2 11 WLDWL
9 Mirandes 8323 10:10 0 11 LDLWD
10 Real Unión 8242 15:13 +2 10 DDDLD
11 Extremadura 1924 8314 11:10 +1 10 DWWLL
12 Mérida AD 7304 11:12 -1 9 WWLLL
13 Barakaldo 8233 8:10 -2 9 WLDDL
14 Real Avilés 7223 11:10 +1 8 WLDDW
15 Pontevedra 7223 9:10 -1 8 LLDDL
16 Deportivo La Coruña II 8224 8:11 -3 8 LLLWD
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 8215 10:14 -4 7 LDWLW
18 CD Coria 7124 10:15 -5 5 LLDDL
19 UD Ourense 7124 3:10 -7 5 WDDLL
20 Arenas Getxo 7025 5:18 -13 2 LDLLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Barakaldo Draw Mirandes

Most likely scores

1-1 11.8%
1-0 9.4%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 7.6%
1-2 7.4%
2-0 7.3%

Expected goals: 1.55 Barakaldo · 1.25 Mirandes

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
62%
38%
Attack
62%
54%
Defence
46%
54%
Goal model
46%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
47%
Overall
52%

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 2 - 0 Mirandes W
10 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
03 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 1 Arenas Getxo D
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Racing Ferrol 1 - 0 Barakaldo L
11 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 0 Extremadura 1924 W
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 4 - 1 Barakaldo L
30 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 0 - 0 Cultural Leonesa D
14 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Portugalete 2 - 0 Barakaldo L
23 May 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 1 - 1 Celta de Vigo II D
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 2 - 0 Mirandes L
10 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mirandes 1 - 1 Zamora D
04 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 1 - 0 Mirandes L
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mirandes 1 - 0 Unionistas de Salamanca W
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Unión 2 - 2 Mirandes D
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mérida AD 3 - 4 Mirandes W
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mirandes 2 - 0 UD Ourense W
28 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Cacereño 1 - 0 Mirandes L
21 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs UD Logroñés 4 - 0 Mirandes L
19 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs La Calzada 0 - 1 Mirandes W

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
4
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
1
Barakaldo Mirandes

Side by side

Barakaldo Mirandes
7 Played 7
1 Won 3
3 Drawn 2
3 Lost 2
0.9 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1.3 / 0.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.5
2 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 2
1-0 Biggest win 2-0
4-1 Biggest defeat 1-0
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Barakaldo
Ponferradina (A) 24 Oct
Reddis (A) 28 Oct
Pontevedra (H) 01 Nov
Real Unión (H) 07 Nov
Deportivo La Coruña II (A) 15 Nov
Mirandes
Racing Ferrol (H) 24 Oct
Atlético Tordesillas (A) 27 Oct
UD Logroñés (A) 31 Oct
CD Coria (H) 08 Nov
Lugo (A) 15 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Barakaldo 2.20 45% implied
Draw 3.30 30% implied
Mirandes 2.75 36% implied
Barakaldo 1.67 60% implied
Mirandes 2.10 48% implied
Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied
Under 0.5 9.00 11% implied
Over 1.5 1.36 74% implied
Under 1.5 3.00 33% implied
Over 2.5 2.10 48% implied
Under 2.5 1.70 59% implied
Over 3.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 3.5 1.25 80% implied
Over 4.5 7.00 14% implied
Under 4.5 1.08 93% implied
Barakaldo/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Barakaldo/Mirandes 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Mirandes 6.50 15% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.00 20% implied
Barakaldo/Barakaldo 3.75 27% implied
Draw/Barakaldo 5.50 18% implied
Mirandes/Barakaldo 29.00 3% implied
Mirandes/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Mirandes/Mirandes 4.75 21% implied
Yes 1.91 52% implied
No 1.80 56% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
1:0 7.50 13% implied
0:1 8.50 12% implied
0:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 10.00 10% implied
2:0 11.00 9% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
0:2 13.00 8% implied
Barakaldo/Draw 1.36 74% implied
Barakaldo/Mirandes 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Mirandes 1.55 65% implied Our tip
Barakaldo 3.00 33% implied
Draw 2.05 49% implied
Mirandes 3.50 29% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Barakaldo vs Mirandes: preview and prediction

Barakaldo host Mirandes in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 8) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:30 at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo. Barakaldo sit 13th in the table and Mirandes 9th. Mirandes are 2 points ahead (11 to 9).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
9 Mirandes 8323 10:10 0 11
13 Barakaldo 8233 8:10 -2 9

Full Primera División RFEF - Group 1 standings

Barakaldo have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-L-W). Mirandes have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-D-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Barakaldo won 0, Mirandes won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Barakaldo and 1.25 for Mirandes. It gives Barakaldo the edge (44% home win, 25% draw, 31% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Ov 1.5 at odds of 1.36. We also like Double Chance (X2), Un 2.5, Un 3.5.

Barakaldo vs Mirandes FAQs

What is the best prediction for Barakaldo vs Mirandes?

Our top tip is Over/Under 1.5: Ov 1.5 (1.36 odds).

Who will win Barakaldo vs Mirandes?

Barakaldo are favourites: our model gives Barakaldo 44%, the draw 25% and Mirandes 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Barakaldo vs Mirandes?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:30 at Campo de Lasesarre, Barakaldo.

More Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Tips

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