Orlando City SC vs DC United

Match Analysis & Predictions

USA: Major League Soccer

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 23:30 Regular Season - 30
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
7th in table
LLWDW
4 VS 1
Finished
HT 2 - 1
DC United DC United
12th in table
DLLWL
15' Antoine Griezmann
22' Martin Ojeda
38' Luis Otávio Costa de Aquino
45+2' Tai Baribo (Penalty)
50' Antoine Griezmann
77' Kimito Nono
82' Jackson Hopkins
89' Tai Baribo
90+5' Marco Pašalić

Expert Prediction · Both Teams Score

BTS @ 1.35 (70% chance) Won

Double chance : Orlando City SC or draw
70% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.67 57% implied

Draw

4.33 22% implied

Away Win

4.50 21% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.35
Double Chance 1X @ 1.25
Exploria Stadium, Orlando Pierre Luce Lauziere

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
4Orlando City SC wins
2Draws
4DC United wins
4.2Goals per game
90%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
25 Apr 2026Major League Soccer DC United 3 - 2 Orlando City SC
13 Sep 2025Major League Soccer DC United 1 - 1 Orlando City SC
22 Mar 2025Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United
06 Jul 2024Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 5 - 0 DC United
13 Apr 2024Major League Soccer DC United 2 - 3 Orlando City SC
22 Apr 2023Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 1 - 3 DC United
12 Mar 2023Major League Soccer DC United 1 - 1 Orlando City SC
31 Jul 2022Major League Soccer DC United 2 - 1 Orlando City SC
04 Jul 2022Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 3 - 5 DC United
02 Oct 2021Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 2 - 1 DC United

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Nashville SC 292063 63:22 +41 66 WWWWD
2 Inter Miami 2914105 70:50 +20 52 WWLDD
3 New England Revolution 2915410 48:41 +7 49 WLLWW
4 Chicago Fire 291469 52:43 +9 48 LWWWL
5 Charlotte 301389 53:45 +8 47 DLWLW
6 Philadelphia Union 3013710 61:48 +13 46 DWWWW
7 Orlando City SC 2911513 54:69 -15 38 DWLLW
8 New York Red Bulls 2910613 39:54 -15 36 LWLWW
9 FC Cincinnati 289910 60:68 -8 36 LWLDD
10 New York City FC 298912 42:40 +2 33 LLDLW
11 Toronto FC 2971210 44:55 -11 33 DWLLL
12 DC United 287129 36:47 -11 33 WLDLD
13 Columbus Crew 299515 44:47 -3 32 WLWWL
14 Atlanta United FC 298615 36:48 -12 30 WLDWD
15 CF Montreal 296617 35:59 -24 24 LLWLL

Top scorers

Major League Soccer
1 L. MessiInter Miami 23goals 12assists 26apps
2 P. MusaFC Dallas 19goals 5assists 25apps
3 M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union 18goals 2assists 29apps
4 D. BouangaLos Angeles FC 17goals 5assists 28apps
5 B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps 17goals 2assists 27apps
6 K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati 17goals 3assists 27apps
7 S. SurridgeNashville SC 17goals 1assists 23apps
8 Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City 17goals 5assists 29apps
9 GuilhermeHouston Dynamo 16goals 7assists 28apps
10 K. YeboahMinnesota United FC 16goals 2assists 28apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Orlando City SC Draw DC United
Value spotted: DC United win at 4.50 (model 29% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.8%
2-1 9.4%
1-0 8.3%
2-0 7.3%
1-2 7%
0-1 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.75 Orlando City SC · 1.3 DC United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
58%
Form
42%
68%
Attack
32%
43%
Defence
57%
58%
Goal model
42%
71%
Head to head
29%
68%
Goals
32%
61%
Overall
39%

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United W
14 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Toronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC D
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew W
26 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Philadelphia Union 4 - 2 Orlando City SC L
19 Sep 2026Major League Soccer New England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC L
16 Sep 2026US Open Cup Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Orlando City SC L
12 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC W
09 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC W
05 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 1 - 0 San Diego W
30 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC D
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United L
14 Oct 2026Major League Soccer DC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls W
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Inter Miami 4 - 0 DC United L
30 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs DC United 0 - 1 SC Paderborn 07 L
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Vancouver Whitecaps 3 - 3 DC United D
19 Sep 2026Major League Soccer DC United 1 - 2 Charlotte L
12 Sep 2026Major League Soccer DC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC D
09 Sep 2026Major League Soccer DC United 2 - 1 Columbus Crew W
29 Aug 2026Major League Soccer DC United 0 - 0 Los Angeles FC D
22 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Charlotte 3 - 1 DC United L

Season numbers

Major League Soccer 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
3
13
16-30'
7
3
31-45'
3
10
46-60'
7
9
61-75'
4
17
76-90'
11
7
0-15'
2
12
16-30'
7
10
31-45'
10
15
46-60'
7
8
61-75'
11
15
76-90'
11
Orlando City SC DC United

Side by side

Orlando City SC DC United
29 Played 28
11 Won 7
5 Drawn 12
13 Lost 9
1.9 Goals scored per game 1.3
2.4 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1.9 / 1.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.2
4 Clean sheets 6
5 Failed to score 9
3 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 3-2
2-4 Biggest defeat 0-4
5/5 Penalties scored 5/5

What comes next

Orlando City SC
New York City FC (H) 24 Oct
Chicago Fire (A) 29 Oct
Charlotte (A) 31 Oct
New England Revolution (H) 07 Nov
DC United
FC Cincinnati (A) 21 Oct
FC Cincinnati (H) 24 Oct
Toronto FC (A) 28 Oct
Columbus Crew (A) 31 Oct
New York City FC (H) 07 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Orlando City SC
G. Dorsey Back Injury
R. Jansson Foot Injury
T. Spicer Foot Injury
Vinicius Nogueira Shoulder Injury
J. Ellis Illness
DC United
L. Bartlett Red Card
H. Kijima Leg Injury
L. Munteanu Leg Injury
G. Segal Leg Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Orlando City SC 1.67 60% implied
Draw 4.33 23% implied
DC United 4.50 22% implied
Orlando City SC 1.28 78% implied
DC United 3.50 29% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00 4% implied
Over 1.5 1.07 93% implied
Under 1.5 9.00 11% implied
Over 2.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 2.5 3.60 28% implied
Over 3.5 1.73 58% implied
Under 3.5 2.00 50% implied
Over 4.5 2.62 38% implied
Under 4.5 1.44 69% implied
Orlando City SC/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
Orlando City SC/DC United 26.00 4% implied
Draw/DC United 11.00 9% implied
Draw/Draw 8.50 12% implied
Orlando City SC/Orlando City SC 2.50 40% implied
Draw/Orlando City SC 5.50 18% implied
DC United/Orlando City SC 15.00 7% implied
DC United/Draw 15.00 7% implied
DC United/DC United 7.00 14% implied
Yes 1.36 74% implied
No 3.00 33% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
1:1 9.50 11% implied
2:2 11.00 9% implied
3:1 12.00 8% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
1:0 15.00 7% implied
3:2 15.00 7% implied
3:0 17.00 6% implied
Orlando City SC/Draw 1.18 85% implied Our tip
Orlando City SC/DC United 1.20 83% implied
Draw/DC United 2.15 47% implied
Orlando City SC 2.05 49% implied
Draw 2.75 36% implied
DC United 4.00 25% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Orlando City SC vs DC United: preview and prediction

Orlando City SC host DC United in the USA Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 30) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:30 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando. Orlando City SC sit 7th in the table and DC United 12th. Orlando City SC are 5 points ahead (38 to 33).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
7 Orlando City SC 2911513 54:69 -15 38
12 DC United 287129 36:47 -11 33

Full Major League Soccer standings

Orlando City SC have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W). DC United are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-W-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Orlando City SC won 4, DC United won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 4.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 90% and over 2.5 goals in 80%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Orlando City SC and 1.3 for DC United. It gives Orlando City SC the edge (48% home win, 23% draw, 29% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Both Teams Score (BTS) at odds of 1.35. We also like Double Chance (1X).

Orlando City SC vs DC United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Orlando City SC vs DC United?

Our top tip is Both Teams Score: BTS (1.35 odds).

Who will win Orlando City SC vs DC United?

Orlando City SC are favourites: our model gives Orlando City SC 48%, the draw 23% and DC United 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 90% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Orlando City SC vs DC United?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 23:30 at Exploria Stadium, Orlando.

Who is the referee?

Pierre Luce Lauziere is in charge of this game.

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