ML Vitebsk vs Neman

Match Analysis & Predictions

Belarus: Premier League

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 17:00 Regular Season - 25
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
1st in table
DDWWW
- VS -
Upcoming
Neman Neman
5th in table
WWLWW

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.64 (57% chance)

Double chance : ML Vitebsk or draw
57% confidence

Match Odds · Marathonbet

Home Win

1.70 55% implied

Draw

3.48 27% implied

Away Win

5.00 19% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.64
Double Chance 1X @ 1.19
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.31
Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.29
Over/Under 2.5 Un 2.5 @ 1.70
Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
2ML Vitebsk wins
2Draws
1Neman wins
2.4Goals per game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
30 May 2026Premier League Neman 1 - 2 ML Vitebsk
28 Feb 2026Super Cup ML Vitebsk 2 - 2 Neman
20 Sep 2025Premier League Neman 3 - 1 ML Vitebsk
03 May 2025Premier League ML Vitebsk 1 - 0 Neman
09 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs Neman 0 - 0 ML Vitebsk

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 ML Vitebsk 231481 49:18 +31 50 WWWDD
2 FC Isloch Minsk R. 241473 41:20 +21 49 WDLWD
3 Dinamo Minsk 231544 43:19 +24 49 WWWLD
4 Dinamo Brest 251357 41:25 +16 44 DWWWW
5 Neman 241347 31:20 +11 43 WWWWD
6 FC Vitebsk 251177 29:21 +8 40 WDWDL
7 FC Gomel 251177 36:25 +11 40 DLWLW
8 FC Minsk 2510411 32:33 -1 34 LLLWW
9 Torpedo Zhodino 248610 29:31 -2 30 LWLLL
10 Slavia Mozyr 246711 25:31 -6 25 LLLLW
11 Baranovichi 256712 24:42 -18 25 LLLDW
12 Arsenal 245811 24:42 -18 23 LLDDL
13 Bate Borisov 244911 18:30 -12 21 LWLDL
14 Belshina 235612 23:40 -17 21 LWDDD
15 Naftan 244515 24:55 -31 17 WWDLL
16 FC Dnepr Mogilev 2421012 22:39 -17 16 LLDLD

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
ML Vitebsk Draw Neman
Value spotted: Neman win at 5.00 (model 29% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14%
1-1 13.3%
0-0 11.6%
0-1 11.1%
2-0 8.4%
2-1 8%

Expected goals: 1.2 ML Vitebsk · 0.95 Neman

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
46%
Form
54%
57%
Attack
43%
50%
Defence
50%
59%
Goal model
41%
50%
Head to head
50%
46%
Goals
54%
51%
Overall
48%

Recent form

6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026Premier League ML Vitebsk 2 - 0 Torpedo Zhodino W
11 Oct 2026Premier League FC Gomel 1 - 5 ML Vitebsk W
18 Sep 2026Premier League ML Vitebsk 5 - 1 Arsenal W
13 Sep 2026Premier League FC Dnepr Mogilev 1 - 1 ML Vitebsk D
06 Sep 2026Premier League ML Vitebsk 0 - 0 Dinamo Minsk D
02 Sep 2026Premier League ML Vitebsk 1 - 1 Belshina D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Dinamo Brest 1 - 3 ML Vitebsk W
23 Aug 2026Premier League ML Vitebsk 0 - 0 Bate Borisov D
19 Aug 2026Premier League ML Vitebsk 2 - 0 Baranovichi W
13 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League ML Vitebsk 1 - 0 Borac Banja Luka W
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
14 Oct 2026Premier League Bate Borisov 0 - 2 Neman W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Neman 3 - 0 Baranovichi W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Neman 1 - 2 Dinamo Brest L
19 Sep 2026Premier League FC Isloch Minsk R. 1 - 2 Neman W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Neman 1 - 0 Torpedo Zhodino W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Belshina 2 - 2 Neman D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Neman 1 - 0 Slavia Mozyr W
22 Aug 2026Premier League Naftan 0 - 2 Neman W
15 Aug 2026Premier League Neman 2 - 1 FC Minsk W
08 Aug 2026Premier League FC Vitebsk 1 - 0 Neman L

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

10
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
5
6
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
4
9
61-75'
5
13
76-90'
11
6
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
6
ML Vitebsk Neman

Side by side

ML Vitebsk Neman
23 Played 24
14 Won 13
8 Drawn 4
1 Lost 7
2.1 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.8 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.6 / 2.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.3
9 Clean sheets 9
4 Failed to score 7
3 Longest winning run 3
5-1 Biggest win 3-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
1/2 Penalties scored 2/2

What comes next

ML Vitebsk
Neman (H) 18 Oct
FC Vitebsk (A) 24 Oct
FC Minsk (H) 31 Oct
Naftan (A) 07 Nov
Slavia Mozyr (H) 21 Nov
Neman
ML Vitebsk (A) 18 Oct
Dinamo Brest (H) 24 Oct
Dinamo Minsk (A) 31 Oct
FC Dnepr Mogilev (H) 07 Nov
Arsenal (A) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Marathonbet
ML Vitebsk 1.70 59% implied Our tip
Draw 3.48 29% implied
Neman 5.00 20% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 8.60 12% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.05 33% implied
Over 2.5 2.02 50% implied
Under 2.5 1.74 57% implied
Over 3.5 3.48 29% implied
Under 3.5 1.22 82% implied
Over 4.5 7.10 14% implied
Under 4.5 1.04 96% implied
ML Vitebsk/Draw 17.00 6% implied Our tip
ML Vitebsk/Neman 53.00 2% implied
Draw/Neman 10.50 10% implied
Draw/Draw 4.80 21% implied
ML Vitebsk/ML Vitebsk 2.55 39% implied
Draw/ML Vitebsk 4.25 24% implied
Neman/ML Vitebsk 30.00 3% implied
Neman/Draw 17.50 6% implied
Neman/Neman 8.90 11% implied
Yes 1.92 52% implied
No 1.77 56% implied
1:0 5.85 17% implied
1:1 6.20 16% implied
2:0 7.40 14% implied
2:1 8.10 12% implied
0:0 8.60 12% implied
0:1 11.75 9% implied
3:0 13.00 8% implied
3:1 14.75 7% implied
ML Vitebsk/Draw 1.14 88% implied Our tip
ML Vitebsk/Neman 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Neman 2.06 49% implied
ML Vitebsk 2.32 43% implied Our tip
Draw 2.03 49% implied
Neman 5.55 18% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

ML Vitebsk vs Neman: preview and prediction

ML Vitebsk host Neman in the Belarus Premier League (Regular Season - 25) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 17:00 at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel. ML Vitebsk sit 1st in the table and Neman 5th. ML Vitebsk are 7 points ahead (50 to 43).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1 ML Vitebsk 231481 49:18 +31 50
5 Neman 241347 31:20 +11 43

Full Premier League standings

ML Vitebsk are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-W). Neman are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W).

In the last 5 meetings, ML Vitebsk won 2, Neman won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for ML Vitebsk and 0.95 for Neman. It gives ML Vitebsk the edge (42% home win, 29% draw, 29% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Verdict: our pick is Home Win (1) at odds of 1.64. We also like Double Chance (1X), Ov 1.5, Un 3.5.

ML Vitebsk vs Neman FAQs

What is the best prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Neman?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.64 odds).

Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Neman?

ML Vitebsk are favourites: our model gives ML Vitebsk 42%, the draw 29% and Neman 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is ML Vitebsk vs Neman?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 17:00 at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel.

More Premier League Tips

14:00 Dnepr Mogilev BATE 1X