Birkirkara vs Floriana

Match Analysis & Predictions

Malta: Premier League

Thu, 22nd Oct, 2026 • 16:00 Regular Season - 9
Birkirkara Birkirkara
8th in table
LDWLL
1 VS 0
Live 13'
HT 1 - 0
Floriana Floriana
3rd in table
LLWDD
4'

Expert Prediction · Free Tip

X2 @ 1.25 (79% chance)

Winner : Floriana
79% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.40 37% implied

Draw

3.30 27% implied

Away Win

2.45 36% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Free Tip X2 @ 1.25
Double Chance X2 @ 1.25
Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
2Birkirkara wins
2Draws
6Floriana wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026Premier League Birkirkara 2 - 2 Floriana
13 Dec 2025Premier League Floriana 2 - 0 Birkirkara
25 Oct 2025Premier League Floriana 2 - 0 Birkirkara
14 May 2025FA Trophy Birkirkara 2 - 1 Floriana
30 Apr 2025Premier League Birkirkara 1 - 1 Floriana
12 Mar 2025Premier League Floriana 0 - 2 Birkirkara
21 Dec 2024Premier League Birkirkara 0 - 1 Floriana
07 Nov 2024Premier League Birkirkara 1 - 3 Floriana
03 Feb 2024Premier League Birkirkara 1 - 2 Floriana
23 Sep 2023Premier League Floriana 2 - 0 Birkirkara

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Valletta FC 9711 21:7 +14 22 WWWWD
2 Marsaxlokk 9522 15:12 +3 17 LWWLW
3 Floriana 8431 20:11 +9 15 DDWLW
4 Sliema Wanderers 9423 12:12 0 14 WLDDW
5 Hamrun Spartans 9342 14:11 +3 13 DDDWW
6 Mosta 9342 13:13 0 13 LDDDL
7 Balzan FC 9252 12:10 +2 11 DLDDD
8 Birkirkara 8314 9:8 +1 10 LLWDL
9 Hibernians 8233 7:11 -4 9 WDLDL
10 Zabbar St. Patrick 9225 10:15 -5 8 LWLLD
11 Gzira United 8044 6:17 -11 4 DDDDL
12 Birzebbuga 9117 5:17 -12 4 WLDLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Birkirkara Draw Floriana
Value spotted: Floriana win at 2.45 (model 57% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

0-1 12.4%
1-1 11.1%
0-2 10.8%
1-2 9.7%
0-0 7.1%
1-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 0.9 Birkirkara · 1.75 Floriana

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
22%
Attack
78%
59%
Defence
41%
21%
Goal model
79%
38%
Head to head
62%
38%
Goals
62%
35%
Overall
64%

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
16 Oct 2026Premier League Marsaxlokk 2 - 0 Birkirkara L
10 Oct 2026Premier League Birkirkara 0 - 2 Valletta FC L
18 Sep 2026Premier League Zabbar St. Patrick 0 - 2 Birkirkara W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Birkirkara 1 - 1 Hibernians D
06 Sep 2026Premier League Sliema Wanderers 2 - 1 Birkirkara L
30 Aug 2026Premier League Mosta 1 - 0 Birkirkara L
22 Aug 2026Premier League Birkirkara 1 - 0 Hamrun Spartans W
17 Aug 2026Premier League Birkirkara 4 - 0 Gzira United W
25 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs Birkirkara 2 - 3 Sliema Wanderers L
18 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs Birkirkara 2 - 1 Zabbar St. Patrick W
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Premier League Floriana 3 - 3 Mosta D
11 Oct 2026Premier League Floriana 1 - 1 Balzan FC D
20 Sep 2026Premier League Hibernians 0 - 4 Floriana W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Floriana 2 - 5 Marsaxlokk L
07 Sep 2026Super Cup Floriana 0 - 2 Valletta FC L
02 Sep 2026Premier League Floriana 4 - 1 Gzira United W
29 Aug 2026Premier League Hamrun Spartans 1 - 1 Floriana D
21 Aug 2026Premier League Floriana 2 - 0 Sliema Wanderers W
14 Aug 2026Premier League Birzebbuga 0 - 3 Floriana W
28 Jul 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Drita 2 - 1 Floriana L

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
6
1
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
5
1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Birkirkara Floriana

Side by side

Birkirkara Floriana
8 Played 8
3 Won 4
1 Drawn 3
4 Lost 1
1.1 Goals scored per game 2.5
1 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.5 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 2.7
3 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 4-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 2-5
2/2 Penalties scored 4/6

What comes next

Birkirkara
Floriana (H) 22 Oct
Balzan FC (A) 25 Oct
Birzebbuga (H) 31 Oct
Floriana
Birkirkara (A) 22 Oct
Zabbar St. Patrick (H) 26 Oct
Valletta FC (H) 31 Oct
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Birkirkara 2.40 42% implied
Draw 3.30 30% implied
Floriana 2.45 41% implied
Birkirkara 2.10 48% implied
Floriana 1.67 60% implied
Over 2.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Birkirkara/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Birkirkara/Floriana 26.00 4% implied
Draw/Floriana 6.00 17% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Birkirkara/Birkirkara 4.33 23% implied
Draw/Birkirkara 6.00 17% implied
Floriana/Birkirkara 29.00 3% implied
Floriana/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Floriana/Floriana 4.00 25% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
0:1 8.50 12% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
0:0 9.50 11% implied
0:2 11.00 9% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
2:0 15.00 7% implied
Birkirkara/Draw 1.50 67% implied
Birkirkara/Floriana 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Floriana 1.44 69% implied Our tip
Birkirkara 3.40 29% implied
Draw 2.10 48% implied
Floriana 2.88 35% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Birkirkara vs Floriana: preview and prediction

Birkirkara host Floriana in the Malta Premier League (Regular Season - 9) on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 16:00 at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola. Birkirkara sit 8th in the table and Floriana 3rd. Floriana are 5 points ahead (15 to 10).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 Floriana 8431 20:11 +9 15
8 Birkirkara 8314 9:8 +1 10

Full Premier League standings

Birkirkara are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-L). Floriana have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-D).

In the last 10 meetings, Birkirkara won 2, Floriana won 6 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for Birkirkara and 1.75 for Floriana. It gives Floriana the edge (19% home win, 23% draw, 57% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Verdict: our pick is Free Tip (X2) at odds of 1.25.

Birkirkara vs Floriana FAQs

What is the best prediction for Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Our top tip is Free Tip: X2 (1.25 odds).

Who will win Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Floriana are favourites: our model gives Birkirkara 19%, the draw 23% and Floriana 57%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 16:00 at Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola.

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