Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town

Match Analysis & Predictions

England: National League - North

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 14:00 National League North - 12
Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
15th in table
DLLDD
1 VS 1
Finished
HT 1 - 0
King's Lynn Town King's Lynn Town
4th in table
WLWWD
29' B. Margetson
70' K. Thomas

Expert Prediction · Over/Under 1.5

Ov 1.5 @ 1.20 (75% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or King's Lynn Town
75% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.25 40% implied

Draw

3.40 27% implied

Away Win

2.70 33% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.20
Double Chance 1X @ 1.44
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.57

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
1Merthyr Town wins
0Draws
1King's Lynn Town wins
2.5Goals per game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
03 Jan 2026National League - North Merthyr Town 1 - 0 King's Lynn Town
30 Aug 2025National League - North King's Lynn Town 4 - 0 Merthyr Town

National League - North table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Macclesfield 11731 17:9 +8 24 WWDDL
2 Hereford 11722 22:6 +16 23 LDWWW
3 Oxford City 11722 21:7 +14 23 WDWLW
4 King's Lynn Town 12624 22:16 +6 20 DWWWL
5 Chester 11623 14:9 +5 20 WWLLD
6 South Shields 11623 18:17 +1 20 LLWLW
7 Hednesford Town 12534 21:19 +2 18 WWWLW
8 Hebburn Town 12534 16:21 -5 18 LLDWL
9 Spalding United 11524 14:9 +5 17 LLWWW
10 Chorley 11524 18:18 0 17 WWLWL
11 Buxton 12525 20:21 -1 17 DLLWW
12 Bedford Town 11515 14:15 -1 16 LDLWW
13 Worksop Town 12516 14:19 -5 16 DWLWL
14 Scarborough Athletic 12435 18:16 +2 15 WLDDD
15 Merthyr Town 12363 14:13 +1 15 DDLDW
16 Marine 11506 13:12 +1 15 WWWLL
17 Harborough Town 11434 11:12 -1 15 WLDLL
18 Brackley Town 12435 15:23 -8 15 LWWDL
19 Morecambe 11425 15:11 +4 14 LDWLW
20 Radcliffe 12408 15:21 -6 12 WWLLW
21 AFC Telford United 12336 11:18 -7 12 WLLDW
22 Southport 12237 13:23 -10 9 LLDLW
23 Darlington 1883 12228 14:24 -10 8 LDDLL
24 Spennymoor Town 11146 12:23 -11 7 LDDLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Merthyr Town Draw King's Lynn Town
Value spotted: King's Lynn Town win at 2.70 (model 45% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.7%
1-2 9.1%
0-1 7.7%
2-1 7.5%
0-2 6.5%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.4 Merthyr Town · 1.7 King's Lynn Town

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
29%
Attack
71%
43%
Defence
57%
34%
Goal model
66%
50%
Head to head
50%
20%
Goals
80%
36%
Overall
64%

Recent form

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026National League - North Merthyr Town 1 - 1 King's Lynn Town D
10 Oct 2026National League - North Darlington 1883 1 - 1 Merthyr Town D
26 Sep 2026National League - North Merthyr Town 1 - 2 Marine L
22 Sep 2026FA Cup Truro City 2 - 0 Merthyr Town L
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Truro City D
12 Sep 2026National League - North Scarborough Athletic 0 - 0 Merthyr Town D
08 Sep 2026National League - North Chester 0 - 1 Merthyr Town W
05 Sep 2026National League - North Merthyr Town 2 - 1 Macclesfield W
31 Aug 2026National League - North Buxton 2 - 1 Merthyr Town L
29 Aug 2026National League - North Merthyr Town 1 - 1 Chorley D
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026National League - North Merthyr Town 1 - 1 King's Lynn Town D
10 Oct 2026National League - North King's Lynn Town 1 - 0 Buxton W
26 Sep 2026National League - North AFC Telford United 0 - 5 King's Lynn Town W
19 Sep 2026FA Cup Bedford Town 2 - 1 King's Lynn Town L
12 Sep 2026National League - North King's Lynn Town 2 - 0 Chorley W
08 Sep 2026National League - North King's Lynn Town 2 - 3 Hednesford Town L
05 Sep 2026National League - North Darlington 1883 0 - 2 King's Lynn Town W
31 Aug 2026National League - North King's Lynn Town 3 - 1 Scarborough Athletic W
29 Aug 2026National League - North Hebburn Town 4 - 2 King's Lynn Town L
22 Aug 2026National League - North King's Lynn Town 1 - 4 Marine L

Season numbers

National League - North 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
4
2
76-90'
2
Merthyr Town King's Lynn Town

Side by side

Merthyr Town King's Lynn Town
11 Played 11
3 Won 6
5 Drawn 1
3 Lost 4
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.6 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 2.2
3 Clean sheets 5
1 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 3-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-4
0/0 Penalties scored 2/4

What comes next

Merthyr Town
Morecambe (H) 24 Oct
Oxford City (A) 27 Oct
Radcliffe (A) 31 Oct
Hebburn Town (H) 07 Nov
Spalding United (A) 21 Nov
King's Lynn Town
Southport (H) 24 Oct
Worksop Town (A) 27 Oct
Hereford (A) 31 Oct
Spennymoor Town (H) 07 Nov
Morecambe (A) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Merthyr Town 2.25 44% implied
Draw 3.40 29% implied
King's Lynn Town 2.70 37% implied
Merthyr Town 1.67 60% implied
King's Lynn Town 2.10 48% implied
Over 0.5 1.03 97% implied
Under 0.5 10.00 10% implied
Over 1.5 1.20 83% implied
Under 1.5 4.33 23% implied
Over 2.5 1.67 60% implied
Under 2.5 2.15 47% implied
Over 3.5 2.62 38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44 69% implied
Over 4.5 4.50 22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17 85% implied
Merthyr Town/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Merthyr Town/King's Lynn Town 26.00 4% implied
Draw/King's Lynn Town 7.00 14% implied
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
Merthyr Town/Merthyr Town 3.60 28% implied
Draw/Merthyr Town 6.00 17% implied
King's Lynn Town/Merthyr Town 23.00 4% implied
King's Lynn Town/Draw 15.00 7% implied
King's Lynn Town/King's Lynn Town 4.33 23% implied
Yes 1.57 64% implied
No 2.25 44% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
1:0 10.00 10% implied
1:2 11.00 9% implied
2:2 12.00 8% implied
0:1 12.00 8% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
0:0 13.00 8% implied
Merthyr Town/Draw 1.36 74% implied Our tip
Merthyr Town/King's Lynn Town 1.25 80% implied
Draw/King's Lynn Town 1.53 65% implied
Merthyr Town 2.75 36% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
King's Lynn Town 3.20 31% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town: preview and prediction

Merthyr Town host King's Lynn Town in the England National League - North (National League North - 12) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:00. Merthyr Town sit 15th in the table and King's Lynn Town 4th. King's Lynn Town are 5 points ahead (20 to 15).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
4 King's Lynn Town 12624 22:16 +6 20
15 Merthyr Town 12363 14:13 +1 15

Full National League - North standings

Merthyr Town are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-D). King's Lynn Town are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-D).

In the last 2 meetings, Merthyr Town won 1, King's Lynn Town won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.7 for King's Lynn Town. It gives King's Lynn Town the edge (32% home win, 24% draw, 45% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Ov 1.5 at odds of 1.20. We also like Double Chance (1X), Both Teams Score (BTS).

Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?

Our top tip is Over/Under 1.5: Ov 1.5 (1.20 odds).

Who will win Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?

King's Lynn Town are favourites: our model gives Merthyr Town 32%, the draw 24% and King's Lynn Town 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:00.

More National League - North Tips

16:00 AFC Telford Darlington 1X 16:00 Buxton Worksop 1X 16:00 Hednesford Brackley Town 1X 16:00 Southport Radcliffe 1X 16:00 Hebburn Town Scarborough 1X 16:00 Ebbsfleet Weston-super-Mare 1X