San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt

Match Analysis & Predictions

Chile: Primera B

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 18:00 Regular Season - 28
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
7th in table
LWWLD
0 VS 0
Finished
HT 0 - 0
D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt
12th in table
LLLLD
54' D. Diaz
57' J. Flores
76' A. Barboza
83' J. Rivera
86' G. Castillo
88' G. Cubillos

Expert Prediction · Over/Under 2.5

Un 2.5 @ 1.63 (68% chance) Lost

Double chance : San Marcos de Arica or draw
68% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.55 57% implied

Draw

3.60 25% implied

Away Win

5.00 18% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Over/Under 2.5 Un 2.5 @ 1.63
Double Chance 1X @ 1.15
Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.19
Home Win 1 @ 1.67
Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2San Marcos de Arica wins
3Draws
3D. Puerto Montt wins
2.1Goals per game
38%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
24 May 2026Primera B D. Puerto Montt 0 - 2 San Marcos de Arica
24 Sep 2023Primera B D. Puerto Montt 1 - 1 San Marcos de Arica
14 May 2023Primera B San Marcos de Arica 2 - 0 D. Puerto Montt
22 Oct 2021Primera B San Marcos de Arica 1 - 2 D. Puerto Montt
15 Jul 2021Primera B D. Puerto Montt 2 - 2 San Marcos de Arica
22 Dec 2020Primera B San Marcos de Arica 0 - 0 D. Puerto Montt
12 Oct 2020Primera B D. Puerto Montt 3 - 0 San Marcos de Arica
01 Apr 2018Primera B San Marcos de Arica 0 - 1 D. Puerto Montt

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 San Luis 281585 43:29 +14 53 WWWWW
2 Cobreloa 281495 51:30 +21 51 WLWWD
3 Santiago Wanderers 281387 46:31 +15 47 WLLLL
4 Magallanes 281378 44:40 +4 46 LWWWD
5 Antofagasta 281297 47:26 +21 45 DWWLD
6 Recoleta 281189 40:42 -2 41 LLWDW
7 San Marcos de Arica 2810108 33:27 +6 40 DLWWL
8 Deportes Copiapo 271179 42:40 +2 40 WWWDL
9 Deportes Temuco 289910 44:39 +5 36 DWLDW
10 Union Espanola 2710611 32:35 -3 36 LLDLD
11 Deportes Iquique 288119 38:32 +6 35 DWWWL
12 D. Puerto Montt 2810513 26:35 -9 35 DLLLL
13 Curico Unido 2871011 26:42 -16 31 DWLLW
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 2841113 28:42 -14 23 DLLDW
15 Union San Felipe 285815 18:50 -32 23 DLLLL
16 Rangers de Talca 285617 28:46 -18 21 LWLLW

Top scorers

Primera B
1 S. RibasRangers de Talca 1goals 0assists 6apps
2 J. DelgadoDeportes Santa Cruz 0goals 0assists 9apps
3 S. RamírezAntofagasta 0goals 0assists 6apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
San Marcos de Arica Draw D. Puerto Montt

Most likely scores

1-0 17.4%
0-0 12.9%
1-1 12.2%
2-0 11.7%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.35 San Marcos de Arica · 0.7 D. Puerto Montt

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
73%
Attack
27%
53%
Defence
47%
73%
Goal model
27%
62%
Head to head
38%
62%
Goals
38%
66%
Overall
33%

Recent form

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera B San Marcos de Arica 0 - 0 D. Puerto Montt D
11 Oct 2026Primera B Antofagasta 3 - 0 San Marcos de Arica L
03 Oct 2026Primera B Deportes Santa Cruz 1 - 2 San Marcos de Arica W
13 Sep 2026Primera B San Marcos de Arica 3 - 0 Curico Unido W
09 Sep 2026Primera B Recoleta 2 - 1 San Marcos de Arica L
06 Sep 2026Primera B San Marcos de Arica 2 - 1 Deportes Copiapo W
01 Sep 2026Primera B Cobreloa 2 - 0 San Marcos de Arica L
22 Aug 2026Primera B San Marcos de Arica 1 - 2 Rangers de Talca L
16 Aug 2026Primera B Union Espanola 2 - 1 San Marcos de Arica L
13 Aug 2026Primera B San Marcos de Arica 0 - 1 Union San Felipe L
2 W 1 D 6 L in the last 9
18 Oct 2026Primera B San Marcos de Arica 0 - 0 D. Puerto Montt D
12 Oct 2026Primera B D. Puerto Montt 0 - 1 San Luis L
03 Oct 2026Primera B Deportes Copiapo 3 - 0 D. Puerto Montt L
29 Sep 2026Copa Chile D. Puerto Montt 0 - 1 Colo Colo L
26 Sep 2026Copa Chile Nublense 2 - 1 D. Puerto Montt L
22 Sep 2026Copa Chile D. Puerto Montt 2 - 0 Nublense W
13 Sep 2026Primera B Magallanes 2 - 0 D. Puerto Montt L
08 Sep 2026Primera B D. Puerto Montt 1 - 2 Rangers de Talca L
05 Sep 2026Primera B D. Puerto Montt 2 - 0 Curico Unido W

Season numbers

Primera B 2026

When the goals come

7
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
7
31-45'
9
4
46-60'
7
7
61-75'
4
8
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
10
5
46-60'
8
4
61-75'
2
8
76-90'
7
San Marcos de Arica D. Puerto Montt

Side by side

San Marcos de Arica D. Puerto Montt
27 Played 27
10 Won 10
9 Drawn 4
8 Lost 13
1.2 Goals scored per game 1
1 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.2 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.2 / 0.7
8 Clean sheets 9
7 Failed to score 10
5 Longest winning run 4
3-0 Biggest win 3-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-4
0/0 Penalties scored 5/5

What comes next

San Marcos de Arica
Deportes Temuco (A) 25 Oct
San Luis (H) 01 Nov
D. Puerto Montt
Union San Felipe (H) 24 Oct
Cobreloa (A) 01 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
San Marcos de Arica 1.55 65% implied Our tip
Draw 3.60 28% implied
D. Puerto Montt 5.00 20% implied
San Marcos de Arica 1.22 82% implied Our tip
D. Puerto Montt 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 2.10 48% implied
Under 2.5 1.70 59% implied
San Marcos de Arica/Draw 19.00 5% implied Our tip
San Marcos de Arica/D. Puerto Montt 41.00 2% implied
Draw/D. Puerto Montt 11.00 9% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
San Marcos de Arica/San Marcos de Arica 2.40 42% implied
Draw/San Marcos de Arica 4.33 23% implied
D. Puerto Montt/San Marcos de Arica 26.00 4% implied
D. Puerto Montt/Draw 19.00 5% implied
D. Puerto Montt/D. Puerto Montt 9.00 11% implied
1:0 6.00 17% implied
2:0 7.00 14% implied
0:0 8.00 13% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
2:1 10.00 10% implied
3:0 11.00 9% implied
0:1 13.00 8% implied
3:1 17.00 6% implied
San Marcos de Arica/Draw 1.11 90% implied Our tip
San Marcos de Arica/D. Puerto Montt 1.22 82% implied
Draw/D. Puerto Montt 2.20 45% implied
San Marcos de Arica 2.10 48% implied Our tip
Draw 2.10 48% implied
D. Puerto Montt 5.50 18% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt: preview and prediction

San Marcos de Arica host D. Puerto Montt in the Chile Primera B (Regular Season - 28) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica. San Marcos de Arica sit 7th in the table and D. Puerto Montt 12th. San Marcos de Arica are 5 points ahead (40 to 35).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
7 San Marcos de Arica 2810108 33:27 +6 40
12 D. Puerto Montt 2810513 26:35 -9 35

Full Primera B standings

San Marcos de Arica have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D). D. Puerto Montt are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 2, D. Puerto Montt won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for San Marcos de Arica and 0.7 for D. Puerto Montt. It gives San Marcos de Arica the edge (52% home win, 28% draw, 19% away win), 34% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Un 2.5 at odds of 1.63. We also like Double Chance (1X), Un 3.5, Home Win (1).

San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt FAQs

What is the best prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Un 2.5 (1.63 odds).

Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?

San Marcos de Arica are favourites: our model gives San Marcos de Arica 52%, the draw 28% and D. Puerto Montt 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 18:00 at Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica.

More Primera B Tips

17:30 Curico Unido Deportes Iquique X2 17:30 San Felipe Deportes Temuco X2 22:00 CD Santa Cruz Antofagasta X2