Real Avilés vs UD Ourense

Match Analysis & Predictions

Spain: Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 16:15 Group 1 - 8
Real Avilés Real Avilés
10th in table
DDLWW
3 VS 0
Finished
HT 1 - 0
UD Ourense UD Ourense
19th in table
LDDWL
31' C. Montes
45+2' A. Bastida
50' Neskes
73' A. Santamaria
85' N. Poquet
89' S. Pardo

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.25 (94% chance) Won

Double chance : Real Avilés or draw
94% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.80 49% implied

Draw

3.30 27% implied

Away Win

3.75 24% implied
Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta G. Amigo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lugo 8710 15:4 +11 22 WWWWW
2 UD Logroñés 8521 17:11 +6 17 DLWWD
3 Racing Ferrol 8512 9:5 +4 16 WWWLW
4 Mérida AD 8404 15:12 +3 12 WWWLL
5 Athletic Club II 8332 13:10 +3 12 LDLWD
6 Zamora 8332 10:8 +2 12 DDWWL
7 Cultural Leonesa 8332 9:7 +2 12 DWLDW
8 Cacereño 8332 7:5 +2 12 LDLDW
9 Ponferradina 8332 6:6 0 12 DLWDW
10 Real Avilés 8323 14:10 +4 11 WWLDD
11 Pontevedra 8323 10:10 0 11 WLLDD
12 Mirandes 8323 10:10 0 11 LDLWD
13 Real Unión 8242 15:13 +2 10 DDDLD
14 Extremadura 1924 8314 11:10 +1 10 DWWLL
15 Barakaldo 8233 8:10 -2 9 WLDDL
16 Deportivo La Coruña II 8224 8:11 -3 8 LLLWD
17 CD Coria 8224 12:16 -4 8 WLLDD
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8215 10:14 -4 7 LDWLW
19 UD Ourense 8125 3:13 -10 5 LWDDL
20 Arenas Getxo 8026 5:22 -17 2 LLDLL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Real Avilés Draw UD Ourense

Most likely scores

1-0 11.7%
1-1 11.7%
2-0 9.6%
2-1 9.6%
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.65 Real Avilés · 1 UD Ourense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
62%
Form
38%
77%
Attack
23%
50%
Defence
50%
70%
Goal model
30%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
64%
Overall
35%

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 0 UD Ourense W
11 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Ponferradina 0 - 2 Real Avilés W
02 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 1 - 2 Lugo L
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Barakaldo 3 - 3 Real Avilés D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 CD Coria 1 - 1 Real Avilés D
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 1 Unionistas de Salamanca W
06 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Athletic Club II 2 - 1 Real Avilés L
28 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 0 - 1 Pontevedra L
21 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Real Avilés 4 - 2 Sporting Gijón II W
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Mosconia 0 - 2 Real Avilés W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Avilés 3 - 0 UD Ourense L
10 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 1 - 0 Barakaldo W
03 Oct 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Real Unión 1 - 1 UD Ourense D
27 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 0 - 0 Cacereño D
19 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Unionistas de Salamanca 3 - 1 UD Ourense L
12 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 0 - 3 UD Logroñés L
05 Sep 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Mirandes 2 - 0 UD Ourense L
29 Aug 2026Primera División RFEF - Group 1 UD Ourense 0 - 1 Ponferradina L
31 May 2026Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs Conquense 0 - 2 UD Ourense W
24 May 2026Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs UD Ourense 1 - 0 Conquense W

Season numbers

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
2
Real Avilés UD Ourense

Side by side

Real Avilés UD Ourense
7 Played 7
2 Won 1
2 Drawn 2
3 Lost 4
1.6 Goals scored per game 0.4
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.3 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.3 / 0.7
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 4
1 Longest winning run 0
3-1 Biggest win 1-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Real Avilés
UD Logroñés (H) 24 Oct
Real Unión (A) 31 Oct
Extremadura 1924 (H) 06 Nov
Zamora (A) 15 Nov
Arenas Getxo (A) 22 Nov
UD Ourense
Arenas Getxo (A) 24 Oct
Gimnástica Torrelavega (A) 28 Oct
Cultural Leonesa (H) 01 Nov
Pontevedra (A) 07 Nov
Mérida AD (H) 15 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Real Avilés 1.80 56% implied
Draw 3.30 30% implied
UD Ourense 3.75 27% implied
Real Avilés 1.40 71% implied
UD Ourense 2.75 36% implied
Over 0.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 0.5 8.50 12% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.50 29% implied
Over 2.5 1.95 51% implied
Under 2.5 1.85 54% implied
Over 3.5 3.40 29% implied
Under 3.5 1.30 77% implied
Over 4.5 6.00 17% implied
Under 4.5 1.11 90% implied
Real Avilés/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Real Avilés/UD Ourense 41.00 2% implied
Draw/UD Ourense 8.50 12% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Real Avilés/Real Avilés 2.88 35% implied
Draw/Real Avilés 4.75 21% implied
UD Ourense/Real Avilés 26.00 4% implied
UD Ourense/Draw 17.00 6% implied
UD Ourense/UD Ourense 6.50 15% implied
Yes 1.83 55% implied
No 1.83 55% implied
1:0 7.00 14% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
2:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
0:0 10.00 10% implied
0:1 11.00 9% implied
1:2 13.00 8% implied
3:0 15.00 7% implied
Real Avilés/Draw 1.20 83% implied Our tip
Real Avilés/UD Ourense 1.25 80% implied
Draw/UD Ourense 1.83 55% implied
Real Avilés 2.40 42% implied
Draw 2.20 45% implied
UD Ourense 4.33 23% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense: preview and prediction

Real Avilés host UD Ourense in the Spain Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 8) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 16:15 at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. Real Avilés sit 10th in the table and UD Ourense 19th. Real Avilés are 6 points ahead (11 to 5).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
10 Real Avilés 8323 14:10 +4 11
19 UD Ourense 8125 3:13 -10 5

Full Primera División RFEF - Group 1 standings

Real Avilés have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-W). UD Ourense have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Real Avilés and 1 for UD Ourense. It gives Real Avilés the edge (53% home win, 25% draw, 23% away win), 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.25.

Real Avilés vs UD Ourense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.25 odds).

Who will win Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?

Real Avilés are favourites: our model gives Real Avilés 53%, the draw 25% and UD Ourense 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 16:15 at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta.

Who is the referee?

G. Amigo is in charge of this game.

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