Bournemouth vs Sunderland

Match Analysis & Predictions

England: Premier League

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 13:00 Regular Season - 7
Bournemouth Bournemouth
19th in table
DWLLW
- VS -
Upcoming
Sunderland Sunderland
18th in table
LWLLW

Expert Prediction · Both Teams Score

BTS @ 1.67 (61% chance)

Double chance : draw or Sunderland
61% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.15 44% implied

Draw

3.30 29% implied

Away Win

3.50 27% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.67
Double Chance 1X @ 1.29
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth Craig Pawson

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6games
2Bournemouth wins
2Draws
2Sunderland wins
2.5Goals per game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
28 Feb 2026Premier League Bournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland
29 Nov 2025Premier League Sunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth
29 Apr 2017Premier League Sunderland 0 - 1 Bournemouth
05 Nov 2016Premier League Bournemouth 1 - 2 Sunderland
23 Jan 2016Premier League Sunderland 1 - 1 Bournemouth
19 Sep 2015Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Manchester City 7700 19:7 +12 21 WWWWW
2 Arsenal 6501 10:5 +5 15 WLWWW
3 Brighton 6411 18:5 +13 13 WWWDL
4 Chelsea 7412 17:13 +4 13 WWLDL
5 Liverpool 7331 9:8 +1 12 WLWDW
6 Brentford 7241 13:8 +5 10 LDWDD
7 Everton 7241 8:7 +1 10 LDWDD
8 Leeds 6231 8:5 +3 9 LDWDD
9 Hull City 7232 8:7 +1 9 LDLDD
10 Ipswich 7304 11:15 -4 9 LWLWL
11 Newcastle 7223 10:14 -4 8 LLWLD
12 Aston Villa 7223 7:11 -4 8 WDWLD
13 Crystal Palace 6213 9:12 -3 7 WDLWL
14 Manchester United 6132 9:9 0 6 DDLDW
15 Coventry 6204 5:11 -6 6 WWLLL
16 Fulham 7124 7:10 -3 5 WLDDL
17 Nottingham Forest 6123 5:8 -3 5 LLWDD
18 Sunderland 6114 6:12 -6 4 LLLDW
19 Bournemouth 6033 7:13 -6 3 LLDDD
20 Tottenham 6033 3:9 -6 3 DLDDL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 E. HaalandManchester City 6goals 0assists 6apps
2 João PedroChelsea 5goals 3assists 5apps
3 R. CherkiManchester City 4goals 2assists 6apps
4 M. RogersChelsea 4goals 1assists 6apps
5 A. IsakLiverpool 4goals 0assists 5apps
6 M. BelloumiHull City 3goals 2assists 6apps
7 M. TavernierBournemouth 3goals 0assists 6apps
8 K. SchadeBrentford 3goals 0assists 6apps
9 T. BarryEverton 3goals 0assists 6apps
10 B. MbeumoManchester United 3goals 0assists 6apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Bournemouth Draw Sunderland

Most likely scores

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9%
1-2 7.3%
2-2 6.8%
1-0 6.5%
2-0 6%

Expected goals: 1.85 Bournemouth · 1.5 Sunderland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
55%
Attack
45%
48%
Defence
52%
51%
Goal model
49%
38%
Head to head
62%
46%
Goals
54%
46%
Overall
53%

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Bournemouth 3 - 0 Sturm Graz W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Bournemouth W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford D
08 Sep 2026League Cup Bournemouth 4 - 0 Lincoln W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Newcastle 2 - 2 Bournemouth D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Bournemouth 1 - 1 Everton D
23 Aug 2026Premier League Manchester City 2 - 1 Bournemouth L
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs FSV Mainz 05 2 - 1 Bournemouth L
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Torreense 1 - 2 Sunderland W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Brighton L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland L
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Sunderland 1 - 0 AZ Alkmaar W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Sunderland 0 - 2 Arsenal L
08 Sep 2026League Cup Sunderland 1 - 0 Hull City W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 1 Sunderland D
30 Aug 2026Premier League Sunderland 1 - 0 Fulham W
22 Aug 2026Premier League Ipswich 2 - 1 Sunderland L
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Sunderland 2 - 1 Rennes W

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
0
4
76-90'
4
Bournemouth Sunderland

Side by side

Bournemouth Sunderland
6 Played 6
0 Won 1
3 Drawn 1
3 Lost 4
1.2 Goals scored per game 1
2.2 Goals conceded per game 2
1 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 0.3 / 1.7
0 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 1-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/2

What comes next

Bournemouth
Sunderland (H) 18 Oct
AC Milan (H) 22 Oct
Manchester United (A) 25 Oct
Aston Villa (H) 28 Oct
Leeds (H) 31 Oct
Sunderland
Bournemouth (A) 18 Oct
Lech Poznan (A) 22 Oct
Leeds (H) 25 Oct
Brentford (H) 28 Oct
Coventry (A) 31 Oct
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Bournemouth
J. Araujo Thigh Injury
E. J. Kroupi Foot Injury
A. Scott Thigh Injury
V. Milosavljevic Injury
Sunderland
D. Ballard Muscle Injury
T. Meunier Muscle Injury
R. Mundle Knee Injury
W. Isidor Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Bournemouth 2.15 47% implied
Draw 3.30 30% implied
Sunderland 3.50 29% implied
Bournemouth 1.50 67% implied
Sunderland 2.50 40% implied
Over 0.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 0.5 11.00 9% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.75 27% implied
Over 2.5 1.91 52% implied
Under 2.5 1.91 52% implied
Over 3.5 3.20 31% implied
Under 3.5 1.36 74% implied
Over 4.5 6.00 17% implied
Under 4.5 1.12 89% implied
Bournemouth/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Bournemouth/Sunderland 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Sunderland 8.00 13% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Bournemouth/Bournemouth 3.50 29% implied
Draw/Bournemouth 5.50 18% implied
Sunderland/Bournemouth 26.00 4% implied
Sunderland/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Sunderland/Sunderland 5.50 18% implied
Yes 1.70 59% implied
No 2.05 49% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 10.00 10% implied
0:0 11.00 9% implied
2:0 12.00 8% implied
0:1 13.00 8% implied
1:2 13.00 8% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
Bournemouth/Draw 1.28 78% implied Our tip
Bournemouth/Sunderland 1.30 77% implied
Draw/Sunderland 1.70 59% implied
Bournemouth 2.62 38% implied
Draw 2.20 45% implied
Sunderland 4.00 25% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Bournemouth vs Sunderland: preview and prediction

Bournemouth host Sunderland in the England Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 13:00 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Bournemouth sit 19th in the table and Sunderland 18th. Sunderland are 1 point ahead (4 to 3).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
18 Sunderland 6114 6:12 -6 4
19 Bournemouth 6033 7:13 -6 3

Full Premier League standings

Bournemouth have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-W). Sunderland are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 6 meetings, Bournemouth won 2, Sunderland won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for Bournemouth and 1.5 for Sunderland. It gives Bournemouth the edge (46% home win, 22% draw, 31% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Both Teams Score (BTS) at odds of 1.67. We also like Double Chance (1X).

Bournemouth vs Sunderland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Our top tip is Both Teams Score: BTS (1.67 odds).

Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Bournemouth are favourites: our model gives Bournemouth 46%, the draw 22% and Sunderland 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bournemouth vs Sunderland?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 13:00 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.

Who is the referee?

Craig Pawson is in charge of this game.

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