Zenit vs Akhmat

Match Analysis & Predictions

Russia: Premier League

Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 • 11:00 Regular Season - 11
Zenit Zenit
4th in table
WDWWW
3 VS 2
Finished
HT 0 - 1
Akhmat Akhmat
11th in table
WLDLL
13' Turpal-Ali Ibishev
22' Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos
25' Lechi Sadulaev
30' Gustavo Mantuan
47' Arsen Adamov (Own Goal)
62' Maksim Glushenkov
71' Ismael Silva
78' Aleksey Kasadzhikov
86' Mohamed Konate
90' Jhon Jhon
90+4' Denis Adamov
90+5' Roman Vega
90+6' Aleksandr Sobolev

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.36 (62% chance) Won

Double chance : Zenit or draw
62% confidence

Match Odds · Marathonbet

Home Win

1.36 71% implied

Draw

5.05 19% implied

Away Win

9.20 10% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.36
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.18
Over/Under 2.5 Ov 2.5 @ 1.70
Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg Rafael Shafeev

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
9Zenit wins
0Draws
1Akhmat wins
3Goals per game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
26 Apr 2026Premier League Zenit 2 - 0 Akhmat
17 Sep 2025Cup Zenit 2 - 1 Akhmat
09 Aug 2025Premier League Akhmat 1 - 0 Zenit
30 Jul 2025Cup Akhmat 1 - 2 Zenit
24 May 2025Premier League Zenit 3 - 0 Akhmat
27 Nov 2024Cup Akhmat 1 - 2 Zenit
10 Nov 2024Premier League Akhmat 1 - 2 Zenit
06 Nov 2024Cup Zenit 3 - 0 Akhmat
19 May 2024Premier League Akhmat Grozny 1 - 5 Zenit Saint Petersburg
28 Oct 2023Premier League Zenit Saint Petersburg 2 - 1 Akhmat Grozny

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Dynamo 10712 15:8 +7 22 WWWWW
2 CSKA Moscow 10640 18:9 +9 22 WWDWD
3 FC Krasnodar 11641 19:13 +6 22 DLDDD
4 Zenit 10703 22:11 +11 21 WWWLW
5 Spartak Moscow 10622 17:8 +9 20 DWWLD
6 Dinamo Makhachkala 11416 16:21 -5 13 DLLLW
7 Baltika 10334 14:12 +2 12 DLDLW
8 Rubin 10262 12:12 0 12 LDDDW
9 FC Orenburg 10262 11:10 +1 12 WDLDD
10 Krylia Sovetov 11263 15:17 -2 12 LDDWD
11 Akhmat 10253 13:13 0 11 DLWDD
12 Lokomotiv 11254 16:14 +2 11 DWDLW
13 FC Rostov 10325 11:17 -6 11 WLLWL
14 Akron 11164 12:20 -8 9 DLWDD
15 Fakel 11137 8:19 -11 6 WLLDL
16 Rodina Moskva 10127 10:25 -15 5 LDLLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 M. GlushenkovZenit 8goals 2assists 9apps
2 A. SobolevZenit 8goals 2assists 10apps
3 I. OblyakovCSKA Moscow 6goals 1assists 10apps
4 G. AgalarovDinamo Makhachkala 5goals 0assists 10apps
5 Gilson BenchimolAkron 4goals 2assists 10apps
6 M. UgaldeSpartak Moscow 4goals 0assists 10apps
7 K. TyukavinDynamo 4goals 1assists 8apps
8 B. GilBaltika 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 I. OleynikovCSKA Moscow 3goals 4assists 10apps
10 L. GondouCSKA Moscow 3goals 1assists 10apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Zenit Draw Akhmat
Value spotted: Draw at 5.05 (model 27% vs market 19%) · Akhmat win at 9.20 (model 23% vs market 10%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14.8%
1-1 12.5%
0-0 10.5%
2-0 10.3%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Zenit · 0.85 Akhmat

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
59%
Attack
41%
53%
Defence
47%
78%
Goal model
22%
80%
Head to head
20%
75%
Goals
25%
68%
Overall
31%

Recent form

7 W 1 D 1 L in the last 9
14 Oct 2026Cup Dinamo Makhachkala 1 - 2 Zenit W
10 Oct 2026Premier League FC Krasnodar 2 - 3 Zenit W
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Zenit 1 - 0 Bate Borisov W
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Shanghai Shenhua 0 - 0 Zenit D
16 Sep 2026Premier League Baltika 2 - 3 Zenit W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Zenit 2 - 1 Lokomotiv W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Zenit 1 - 2 CSKA Moscow L
02 Sep 2026Cup Zenit 3 - 0 Dinamo Makhachkala W
29 Aug 2026Premier League Fakel 0 - 1 Zenit W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Premier League Zenit 3 - 2 Akhmat L
14 Oct 2026Cup Akhmat 1 - 2 Dynamo L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Akhmat 0 - 0 Baltika D
17 Sep 2026Premier League Akron 2 - 0 Akhmat L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Akhmat 3 - 2 Dinamo Makhachkala W
07 Sep 2026Premier League Rubin 1 - 1 Akhmat D
03 Sep 2026Cup Dynamo 3 - 0 Akhmat L
29 Aug 2026Premier League Akhmat 3 - 3 Krylia Sovetov D
22 Aug 2026Premier League Akhmat 4 - 1 FC Rostov W
18 Aug 2026Cup Akhmat 2 - 1 Fakel W

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
0
4
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
2
Zenit Akhmat

Side by side

Zenit Akhmat
10 Played 10
7 Won 2
0 Drawn 5
3 Lost 3
2.2 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.8 / 2.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 0.4
4 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 4
2 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 4-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/2 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Zenit
Dinamo Makhachkala (H) 25 Oct
Baltika (A) 29 Oct
Krylia Sovetov (A) 02 Nov
FC Rostov (H) 08 Nov
Rubin (A) 21 Nov
Akhmat
FC Orenburg (H) 23 Oct
Fakel (A) 27 Oct
Dynamo (A) 31 Oct
Rodina Moskva (H) 07 Nov
CSKA Moscow (A) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Zenit
Wendel Injury
Akhmat
J. Romao Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Marathonbet
Zenit 1.36 74% implied Our tip
Draw 5.05 20% implied
Akhmat 9.20 11% implied
Over 1.5 1.18 85% implied
Under 1.5 4.15 24% implied
Over 2.5 1.70 59% implied
Under 2.5 2.16 46% implied
Over 3.5 2.62 38% implied
Under 3.5 1.41 71% implied
Over 4.5 4.80 21% implied
Under 4.5 1.12 89% implied
Zenit/Draw 22.00 5% implied
Zenit/Akhmat 69.00 1% implied
Draw/Akhmat 18.50 5% implied
Draw/Draw 7.10 14% implied
Zenit/Zenit 1.83 55% implied
Draw/Zenit 3.86 26% implied
Akhmat/Zenit 25.00 4% implied
Akhmat/Draw 23.00 4% implied
Akhmat/Akhmat 16.50 6% implied
Yes 1.99 50% implied
No 1.73 58% implied
2:0 6.00 17% implied
1:0 6.30 16% implied
2:1 7.90 13% implied
3:0 8.00 13% implied
1:1 8.50 12% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
4:0 14.00 7% implied
0:0 15.00 7% implied
Zenit/Draw 1.07 93% implied
Zenit/Akhmat 1.19 84% implied
Draw/Akhmat 3.28 30% implied
Zenit 1.82 55% implied Our tip
Draw 2.44 41% implied
Akhmat 7.80 13% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Zenit vs Akhmat: preview and prediction

Zenit host Akhmat in the Russia Premier League (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 11:00 at Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg. Zenit sit 4th in the table and Akhmat 11th. Zenit are 10 points ahead (21 to 11).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
4 Zenit 10703 22:11 +11 21
11 Akhmat 10253 13:13 0 11

Full Premier League standings

Zenit are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-W). Akhmat are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Zenit won 9, Akhmat won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 80%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Zenit and 0.85 for Akhmat. It gives Zenit the edge (50% home win, 27% draw, 23% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win (1) at odds of 1.36. We also like Ov 1.5, Ov 2.5.

Zenit vs Akhmat FAQs

What is the best prediction for Zenit vs Akhmat?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.36 odds).

Who will win Zenit vs Akhmat?

Zenit are favourites: our model gives Zenit 50%, the draw 27% and Akhmat 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Zenit vs Akhmat?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 11:00 at Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg.

Who is the referee?

Rafael Shafeev is in charge of this game.

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