Lille vs Lens

Match Analysis & Predictions

France: Ligue 1

Fri, 30th Oct, 2026 • 20:05 Regular Season - 9
Lille Lille
3rd in table
WLDLD
- VS -
Upcoming
Lens Lens
7th in table
WLWLW

Expert Prediction · Both Teams Score

GG @ 1.59 (62% chance)

Double chance : Lille or draw
62% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.75 34% implied

Draw

3.40 28% implied

Away Win

2.50 38% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Both Teams Score GG @ 1.59
Double Chance 1X @ 1.50
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille Jerome Brisard

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
5Lille wins
3Draws
2Lens wins
2.4Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
04 Apr 2026Ligue 1 Lille 3 - 0 Lens
20 Sep 2025Ligue 1 Lens 3 - 0 Lille
30 Mar 2025Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Lens
26 Oct 2024Ligue 1 Lens 0 - 2 Lille
29 Mar 2024Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 1 Lens
08 Oct 2023Ligue 1 Lens 1 - 1 Lille
04 Mar 2023Ligue 1 Lens 1 - 1 Lille
09 Oct 2022Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Lens
16 Apr 2022Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 2 Lens
04 Jan 2022Coupe de France Lens 2 - 2 Lille

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 8521 16:9 +7 17 WWWWW
2 Rennes 8512 18:14 +4 16 WLWLW
3 Lille 8431 11:6 +5 15 DDWLW
4 Monaco 8431 11:7 +4 15 DLDWD
5 Lyon 8422 13:7 +6 14 LWLWD
6 Paris FC 8422 13:9 +4 14 LWLWD
7 Lens 8413 16:12 +4 13 WWWLD
8 Marseille 8404 18:13 +5 12 WWWLL
9 Lorient 8332 7:6 +1 12 DWWLD
10 Nice 8323 8:10 -2 11 WLWWL
11 Toulouse 8242 12:11 +1 10 DWDWD
12 Auxerre 8314 12:18 -6 10 DWLWW
13 Stade Brestois 29 8233 14:12 +2 9 LDWLL
14 Angers 8224 9:15 -6 8 DLLWD
15 Le Mans 8143 11:16 -5 7 DLLWD
16 Strasbourg 8215 12:18 -6 7 LLLLD
17 Estac Troyes 8125 5:16 -11 5 DLLLL
18 Le Havre 8026 8:15 -7 2 LLLLD

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
2 L. SinayokoParis FC 6goals 4assists 8apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 5goals 0assists 6apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 5goals 2assists 8apps
5 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 6apps
6 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 8apps
7 Paris Josua BrunnerMonaco 4goals 0assists 6apps
8 K. DoumbiaStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 L. MafoutaLe Mans 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 F. ThauvinLens 4goals 7assists 8apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Lille Draw Lens
Value spotted: Lille win at 2.75 (model 46% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.2%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 8.6%
1-2 7.3%
2-0 7.1%
0-1 6.8%

Expected goals: 1.65 Lille · 1.3 Lens

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
38%
Attack
63%
64%
Defence
36%
62%
Goal model
38%
80%
Head to head
20%
67%
Goals
33%
59%
Overall
41%

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lille 2 - 4 Galatasaray L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Arsenal 3 - 0 Lille L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lille 2 - 1 Zulte Waregem W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Nice 2 - 1 Lille L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes W
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Lille 2 - 3 Real Betis L
03 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille W
5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Paris FC W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Club Brugge KV 3 - 0 Lens L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lens 0 - 2 Sporting CP L
09 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Lyon W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Standard Liege 0 - 2 Lens W
18 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 1 Lens L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 2 - 2 Lens D
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Lens W
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lens 0 - 1 Lorient L

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
4
0
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
2
Lille Lens

Side by side

Lille Lens
8 Played 8
4 Won 4
3 Drawn 1
1 Lost 3
1.4 Goals scored per game 2
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.5 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 1.8
4 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 1
2-0 Biggest win 5-2
2-1 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 3/3

What comes next

Lille
Lens (H) 30 Oct
Bodo/Glimt (A) 03 Nov
Rennes (A) 08 Nov
Lyon (H) 21 Nov
Bayern München (H) 25 Nov
Lens
Lille (A) 30 Oct
Como (H) 04 Nov
Marseille (H) 08 Nov
Toulouse (H) 21 Nov
RB Leipzig (A) 24 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Lille
H. Igamane Knee Injury
T. Nianzou Red Card
T. Santos Knee Injury
A. Ueda Foot Injury
Lens
N. Celik Inactive
J. Chavez Coach's decision
O. Edouard Groin Injury
I. Ganiou Knee Injury
M. Nawrocki Knee Injury
A. Sima Muscle Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Lille 2.75 36% implied
Draw 3.40 29% implied
Lens 2.50 40% implied
Lille 1.83 55% implied
Lens 1.83 55% implied
Over 0.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 0.5 11.00 9% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.75 27% implied
Over 2.5 1.91 52% implied
Under 2.5 1.91 52% implied
Over 3.5 3.20 31% implied
Under 3.5 1.36 74% implied
Over 4.5 6.00 17% implied
Under 4.5 1.12 89% implied
Lille/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
Lille/Lens 26.00 4% implied
Draw/Lens 6.00 17% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Lille/Lille 4.50 22% implied
Draw/Lille 6.50 15% implied
Lens/Lille 26.00 4% implied
Lens/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Lens/Lens 4.00 25% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied Our tip
No 2.10 48% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
1:0 9.50 11% implied
0:1 9.50 11% implied
2:1 10.00 10% implied
1:2 10.00 10% implied
0:0 11.00 9% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
Lille/Draw 1.50 67% implied Our tip
Lille/Lens 1.30 77% implied
Draw/Lens 1.40 71% implied
Lille 3.25 31% implied
Draw 2.20 45% implied
Lens 3.20 31% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Lille vs Lens: preview and prediction

Lille host Lens in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9) on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 20:05 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Lille sit 3rd in the table and Lens 7th. Lille are 2 points ahead (15 to 13).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 Lille 8431 11:6 +5 15
7 Lens 8413 16:12 +4 13

Full Ligue 1 standings

Lille have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-D). Lens are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-W).

In the last 10 meetings, Lille won 5, Lens won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Lille and 1.3 for Lens. It gives Lille the edge (46% home win, 24% draw, 30% away win), 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Both Teams Score (GG) at odds of 1.59. We also like Double Chance (1X).

Lille vs Lens FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lille vs Lens?

Our top tip is Both Teams Score: GG (1.59 odds).

Who will win Lille vs Lens?

Lille are favourites: our model gives Lille 46%, the draw 24% and Lens 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Lille vs Lens?

Kick-off is on Friday, 30th October 2026 at 20:05 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.

Who is the referee?

Jerome Brisard is in charge of this game.

More Ligue 1 Tips

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