Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane

Match Analysis & Predictions

Italy: Serie C - Girone A

Sat, 17th Oct, 2026 • 12:30 Girone A - 10
Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi
14th in table
DLLLW
3 VS 1
Finished
HT 0 - 1
Lumezzane Lumezzane
11th in table
LLWDL
25' G. Anatriello
49' M. Figoli
67' F. Desole
87' A. Sall
90+7' M. Montipo

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.57 (70% chance) Lost

Double chance : draw or Lumezzane
70% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.10 42% implied

Draw

3.10 28% implied

Away Win

3.00 29% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Double Chance X2 @ 1.57
Over/Under 1.5 Ov 1.5 @ 1.30
Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi G. Castellano

Serie C - Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Cittadella 9801 16:4 +12 24 WLWWW
2 Union Brescia 9540 16:6 +10 19 WDDWD
3 Ospitaletto 9531 15:6 +9 18 WDWLD
4 Arzignano Valchiampo 9522 14:10 +4 17 WDWWW
5 Trento 9450 12:5 +7 17 WDDWD
6 Treviso 10442 10:7 +3 16 WLDWD
7 Lecco 10343 12:9 +3 13 WDDLD
8 Desenzano Calvina 9342 8:7 +1 13 WWDDL
9 Albinoleffe 9333 14:13 +1 12 LWDWL
10 Alcione 9261 13:14 -1 12 DDDLD
11 Lumezzane 10334 11:14 -3 12 LDWLW
12 Pergolettese 9252 5:6 -1 11 WDDDD
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9243 7:9 -2 10 LLDLD
14 Athletic Carpi 10235 14:20 -6 9 WLLLD
15 Novara 9234 8:12 -4 9 LWLDD
16 PRO Vercelli 10235 8:18 -10 9 LLWDL
17 Juventus U23 9144 8:15 -7 7 DLDLL
18 Folgore Caratese 10136 9:15 -6 6 LLLWD
19 Giana Erminio 9054 8:12 -4 5 DDDDD
20 Renate 9045 8:14 -6 4 DDLLD

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Athletic Carpi Draw Lumezzane
Value spotted: Lumezzane win at 3.00 (model 43% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.9%
1-2 9%
0-1 7.8%
2-1 7.7%
1-0 6.6%
0-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.4 Athletic Carpi · 1.65 Lumezzane

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
20%
Form
80%
45%
Attack
55%
31%
Defence
69%
49%
Goal model
51%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
36%
Overall
63%

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 3 - 1 Lumezzane W
10 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Pergolettese 2 - 1 Athletic Carpi L
03 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A PRO Vercelli 2 - 0 Athletic Carpi L
27 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 0 - 3 Arzignano Valchiampo L
20 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Novara 2 - 2 Athletic Carpi D
17 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 2 - 2 Ospitaletto D
13 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 1 - 2 Cittadella L
06 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Albinoleffe 0 - 1 Athletic Carpi W
02 Sep 2026Coppa Italia Serie C Athletic Carpi 1 - 1 PRO Vercelli D
30 Aug 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 3 - 3 Juventus U23 D
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 3 - 1 Lumezzane L
13 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Juventus U23 0 - 0 Lumezzane D
10 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Lumezzane 3 - 2 Albinoleffe W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Inter 2 - 0 Lumezzane L
26 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Lumezzane 1 - 2 Folgore Caratese L
21 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Dolomiti Bellunesi 1 - 2 Lumezzane W
17 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Lumezzane 0 - 0 Novara D
13 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Lumezzane 2 - 2 Renate D
06 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Cittadella 2 - 1 Lumezzane L
30 Aug 2026Serie C - Girone A Lumezzane 1 - 0 Giana Erminio W

Season numbers

Serie C - Girone A 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
6
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
5
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2
3
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
2
Athletic Carpi Lumezzane

Side by side

Athletic Carpi Lumezzane
9 Played 9
1 Won 3
3 Drawn 3
5 Lost 3
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.1
2.1 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 0.8
1 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 1
0-1 Biggest win 3-2
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Athletic Carpi
Alcione (A) 24 Oct
Ravenna (H) 28 Oct
Renate (H) 01 Nov
Folgore Caratese (A) 08 Nov
Giana Erminio (H) 14 Nov
Lumezzane
Pergolettese (A) 25 Oct
Arzignano Valchiampo (H) 01 Nov
Alcione (A) 06 Nov
Trento (H) 14 Nov
Lecco (A) 23 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Athletic Carpi 2.10 48% implied
Draw 3.10 32% implied
Lumezzane 3.00 33% implied
Athletic Carpi 1.57 64% implied
Lumezzane 2.25 44% implied
Over 0.5 1.06 94% implied
Under 0.5 8.00 13% implied
Over 1.5 1.30 77% implied
Under 1.5 3.40 29% implied
Over 2.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 2.5 1.80 56% implied
Over 3.5 3.40 29% implied
Under 3.5 1.30 77% implied
Over 4.5 6.50 15% implied
Under 4.5 1.10 91% implied
Athletic Carpi/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Athletic Carpi/Lumezzane 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Lumezzane 7.00 14% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Athletic Carpi/Athletic Carpi 3.50 29% implied
Draw/Athletic Carpi 5.50 18% implied
Lumezzane/Athletic Carpi 26.00 4% implied
Lumezzane/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Lumezzane/Lumezzane 5.00 20% implied
Yes 1.80 56% implied
No 1.91 52% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
1:0 8.00 13% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
0:0 9.50 11% implied
0:1 10.00 10% implied
2:0 11.00 9% implied
1:2 12.00 8% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
Athletic Carpi/Draw 1.30 77% implied
Athletic Carpi/Lumezzane 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Lumezzane 1.60 63% implied Our tip
Athletic Carpi 2.88 35% implied
Draw 2.10 48% implied
Lumezzane 3.50 29% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane: preview and prediction

Athletic Carpi host Lumezzane in the Italy Serie C - Girone A (Girone A - 10) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:30 at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi. Athletic Carpi sit 14th in the table and Lumezzane 11th. Lumezzane are 3 points ahead (12 to 9).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
11 Lumezzane 10334 11:14 -3 12
14 Athletic Carpi 10235 14:20 -6 9

Full Serie C - Girone A standings

Athletic Carpi are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). Lumezzane are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Athletic Carpi and 1.65 for Lumezzane. It gives Lumezzane the edge (33% home win, 24% draw, 43% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.57. We also like Ov 1.5.

Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane FAQs

What is the best prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.57 odds).

Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?

Lumezzane are favourites: our model gives Athletic Carpi 33%, the draw 24% and Lumezzane 43%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 12:30 at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi.

Who is the referee?

G. Castellano is in charge of this game.

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