Toluca vs Club Tijuana

Match Analysis & Predictions

Mexico: Liga MX

Thu, 22nd Oct, 2026 • 01:00 Apertura - 13
Toluca Toluca
3rd in table
DLLDD
2 VS 2
Finished
HT 0 - 1
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
10th in table
DLDDD
38' Elias Manoel
61' Federico Viñas
65' Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
75' Yael Padilla

Expert Prediction · Home Win

1 @ 1.40 (56% chance) Lost

Double chance : Toluca or draw
56% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

1.25 76% implied

Draw

6.50 15% implied

Away Win

10.00 9% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Home Win 1 @ 1.40
Double Chance 1X @ 1.11
Both Teams Score BTS @ 1.60
Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca Julio Gerardo Garcia Armenta

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
6Toluca wins
2Draws
2Club Tijuana wins
3.1Goals per game
50%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Liga MX Toluca 1 - 0 Club Tijuana
23 Oct 2025Liga MX Club Tijuana 0 - 0 Toluca
11 Jan 2025Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca
14 Sep 2024Liga MX Toluca 4 - 0 Club Tijuana
25 Feb 2024Liga MX Toluca 2 - 0 Club Tijuana
16 Sep 2023Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 1 Toluca
18 Mar 2023Liga MX Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Toluca
07 Aug 2022Liga MX Toluca 3 - 1 Club Tijuana
02 Mar 2022Liga MX Toluca 1 - 2 Club Tijuana
07 Aug 2021Liga MX Club Tijuana 0 - 2 Toluca

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 11731 27:14 +13 24 WDWDL
2 Guadalajara Chivas 13652 20:12 +8 23 WDDLD
3 Toluca 12633 26:16 +10 21 DLDLW
4 Leon 13634 20:17 +3 21 WLDWD
5 Atlas 12633 19:18 +1 21 WDWDL
6 Cruz Azul 12624 27:21 +6 20 WDDLW
7 Club Queretaro 12624 16:15 +1 20 LLWWD
8 Monterrey 11524 19:16 +3 17 WDLWD
9 Santos Laguna 12516 17:16 +1 16 WWWWW
10 Club Tijuana 11443 15:14 +1 16 DDLDL
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12444 19:20 -1 16 WDLDL
12 Puebla 12444 12:13 -1 16 DDLDL
13 Atletico San Luis 13445 18:22 -4 16 WDLWW
14 Tigres UANL 13355 14:18 -4 14 LDWWL
15 Atlante FC 13355 14:19 -5 14 WLLWD
16 CF Pachuca 12345 19:16 +3 13 LDLDW
17 Necaxa 13238 15:26 -11 9 LLDLL
18 FC Juarez 131111 8:32 -24 4 LLDLW

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 0assists 12apps
2 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 12apps
3 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 7goals 4assists 12apps
4 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 11apps
5 H. MartínClub America 7goals 3assists 10apps
6 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 12apps
7 Tahiel Adrián Jiménez SánchezSantos Laguna 5goals 0assists 3apps
8 F. ViñasToluca 5goals 0assists 9apps
9 S. HomenchenkoClub Queretaro 5goals 2assists 11apps
10 L. OcamposMonterrey 5goals 2assists 9apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Toluca Draw Club Tijuana
Value spotted: Club Tijuana win at 10.00 (model 22% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.1%
1-1 7.7%
3-1 7.1%
2-0 6.5%
2-2 6.4%
1-0 5.5%

Expected goals: 2.35 Toluca · 1.4 Club Tijuana

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams score68%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
63%
Form
38%
64%
Attack
36%
41%
Defence
59%
71%
Goal model
29%
93%
Head to head
7%
85%
Goals
15%
69%
Overall
30%

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana D
18 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 1 - 1 Atletico San Luis D
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 3 - 2 Toluca L
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca L
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Cruz Azul 3 - 3 Toluca D
21 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 3 Santos Laguna L
16 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca W
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Toluca 5 - 2 Atlas W
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey W
03 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Leon W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Toluca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana D
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 0 - 0 Puebla D
10 Oct 2026Liga MX FC Juarez 1 - 1 Club Tijuana D
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 3 Atlas L
21 Sep 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 2 - 2 Club Tijuana D
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 0 - 1 Club Queretaro L
29 Aug 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas W
22 Aug 2026Liga MX Guadalajara Chivas 5 - 2 Club Tijuana L
17 Aug 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul W
14 Aug 2026Leagues Cup Portland Timbers 3 - 1 Club Tijuana L

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
5
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
3
5
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
4
Toluca Club Tijuana

Side by side

Toluca Club Tijuana
12 Played 11
6 Won 4
3 Drawn 4
3 Lost 3
2.2 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.3
2.7 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 1.3
4 Clean sheets 4
1 Failed to score 3
4 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-3 Biggest defeat 2-3
4/4 Penalties scored 7/8

What comes next

Toluca
Leon (A) 24 Oct
Club America (A) 01 Nov
Monterrey (H) 08 Nov
CF Pachuca (A) 21 Nov
Club Tijuana
Santos Laguna (H) 26 Oct
Club America (A) 29 Oct
Monterrey (A) 01 Nov
Necaxa (A) 07 Nov
Atlante FC (H) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Toluca 1.25 80% implied Our tip
Draw 6.50 15% implied
Club Tijuana 10.00 10% implied
Toluca 1.07 93% implied Our tip
Club Tijuana 9.00 11% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 23.00 4% implied
Over 1.5 1.10 91% implied
Under 1.5 7.00 14% implied
Over 2.5 1.36 74% implied
Under 2.5 3.10 32% implied
Over 3.5 1.83 55% implied
Under 3.5 1.83 55% implied
Over 4.5 3.00 33% implied
Under 4.5 1.36 74% implied
Toluca/Draw 17.00 6% implied Our tip
Toluca/Club Tijuana 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Club Tijuana 17.00 6% implied
Draw/Draw 9.00 11% implied
Toluca/Toluca 1.95 51% implied
Draw/Toluca 4.33 23% implied
Club Tijuana/Toluca 17.00 6% implied
Club Tijuana/Draw 19.00 5% implied
Club Tijuana/Club Tijuana 13.00 8% implied
Yes 1.75 57% implied
No 2.00 50% implied
2:0 8.50 12% implied
3:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
3:1 10.00 10% implied
1:0 11.00 9% implied
4:0 12.00 8% implied
1:1 13.00 8% implied
4:1 15.00 7% implied
Toluca/Draw 1.07 93% implied Our tip
Toluca/Club Tijuana 1.12 89% implied
Draw/Club Tijuana 3.50 29% implied
Toluca 1.62 62% implied Our tip
Draw 3.00 33% implied
Club Tijuana 7.50 13% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Toluca vs Club Tijuana: preview and prediction

Toluca host Club Tijuana in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca. Toluca sit 3rd in the table and Club Tijuana 10th. Toluca are 5 points ahead (21 to 16).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 Toluca 12633 26:16 +10 21
10 Club Tijuana 11443 15:14 +1 16

Full Liga MX standings

Toluca are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-D-D). Club Tijuana are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-D-D-D).

In the last 10 meetings, Toluca won 6, Club Tijuana won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Our goal model expects about 2.35 goals for Toluca and 1.4 for Club Tijuana. It gives Toluca the edge (58% home win, 19% draw, 22% away win), 72% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win (1) at odds of 1.40. We also like Double Chance (1X), Both Teams Score (BTS).

Toluca vs Club Tijuana FAQs

What is the best prediction for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Toluca are favourites: our model gives Toluca 58%, the draw 19% and Club Tijuana 22%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 68% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.

Who is the referee?

Julio Gerardo Garcia Armenta is in charge of this game.

More Liga MX Tips

03:00 Atlas Club America X2 03:00 Puebla Monterrey X2 05:00 Pachuca Cruz Azul 1X 05:10 Santos Laguna UNAM Pumas 1X