Puebla vs Monterrey

Match Analysis & Predictions

Mexico: Liga MX

Thu, 22nd Oct, 2026 • 01:00 Apertura - 13
Puebla Puebla
12th in table
LDLDD
1 VS 4
Finished
HT 0 - 3
Monterrey Monterrey
8th in table
WLWDW
17' Diego Rossi
31' Hugo Cuypers
34' Lucas Ocampos
61' Roberto de la Rosa
66' Facundo Almada
90' Lucas Orellano
90+1' Ricardo Chávez

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

X2 @ 1.29 (68% chance) Won

Double chance : draw or Monterrey
68% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

4.20 23% implied

Draw

3.80 25% implied

Away Win

1.80 53% implied
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
1Puebla wins
3Draws
6Monterrey wins
2.5Goals per game
70%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
22 Apr 2026Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 1 Puebla
30 Aug 2025Liga MX Puebla 2 - 4 Monterrey
13 Jan 2025Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 1 Puebla
17 Aug 2024Liga MX Puebla 1 - 2 Monterrey
14 Jan 2024Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 0 Puebla
04 Oct 2023Liga MX Puebla 1 - 1 Monterrey
28 Jan 2023Liga MX Puebla 1 - 2 Monterrey
27 Jul 2022Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 0 Puebla
19 Feb 2022Liga MX Puebla 1 - 0 Monterrey
26 Jul 2021Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 1 Puebla

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 11731 27:14 +13 24 WDWDL
2 Guadalajara Chivas 13652 20:12 +8 23 WDDLD
3 Toluca 12633 26:16 +10 21 DLDLW
4 Leon 13634 20:17 +3 21 WLDWD
5 Atlas 12633 19:18 +1 21 WDWDL
6 Cruz Azul 12624 27:21 +6 20 WDDLW
7 Club Queretaro 12624 16:15 +1 20 LLWWD
8 Monterrey 11524 19:16 +3 17 WDLWD
9 Santos Laguna 12516 17:16 +1 16 WWWWW
10 Club Tijuana 11443 15:14 +1 16 DDLDL
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12444 19:20 -1 16 WDLDL
12 Puebla 12444 12:13 -1 16 DDLDL
13 Atletico San Luis 13445 18:22 -4 16 WDLWW
14 Tigres UANL 13355 14:18 -4 14 LDWWL
15 Atlante FC 13355 14:19 -5 14 WLLWD
16 CF Pachuca 12345 19:16 +3 13 LDLDW
17 Necaxa 13238 15:26 -11 9 LLDLL
18 FC Juarez 131111 8:32 -24 4 LLDLW

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 0assists 12apps
2 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 12apps
3 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 7goals 4assists 12apps
4 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 11apps
5 H. MartínClub America 7goals 3assists 10apps
6 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 12apps
7 Tahiel Adrián Jiménez SánchezSantos Laguna 5goals 0assists 3apps
8 F. ViñasToluca 5goals 0assists 9apps
9 S. HomenchenkoClub Queretaro 5goals 2assists 11apps
10 L. OcamposMonterrey 5goals 2assists 9apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Puebla Draw Monterrey
Value spotted: Puebla win at 4.20 (model 44% vs market 23%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.1%
1-0 10.1%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.1%
2-0 7.6%
1-2 7.3%

Expected goals: 1.5 Puebla · 1.2 Monterrey

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
27%
Form
73%
25%
Attack
75%
60%
Defence
40%
57%
Goal model
43%
7%
Head to head
93%
31%
Goals
69%
34%
Overall
65%

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 0 - 0 Puebla D
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 1 Leon D
27 Sep 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Puebla L
19 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 1 Atlante FC D
16 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca L
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 1 Puebla W
30 Aug 2026Liga MX Club America 2 - 0 Puebla L
23 Aug 2026Liga MX Puebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna W
18 Aug 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla W
13 Aug 2026Leagues Cup San Diego 3 - 2 Puebla L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
19 Oct 2026Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 1 CF Pachuca W
11 Oct 2026Liga MX Club America 1 - 1 Monterrey D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca W
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlante FC 4 - 2 Monterrey L
20 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 0 Cruz Azul W
13 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 0 - 0 Tigres UANL D
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey L
03 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Club America 2 - 2 Monterrey D
31 Aug 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis L
26 Aug 2026Leagues Cup Monterrey 2 - 1 Chicago Fire W

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
7
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
5
Puebla Monterrey

Side by side

Puebla Monterrey
12 Played 11
4 Won 5
4 Drawn 2
4 Lost 4
1 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.2 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 2.2 / 1.2
3 Clean sheets 3
4 Failed to score 2
2 Longest winning run 2
3-2 Biggest win 6-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-3
1/1 Penalties scored 2/3

What comes next

Puebla
Monterrey (H) 22 Oct
Atlas (A) 25 Oct
U.N.A.M. - Pumas (H) 31 Oct
Club Queretaro (A) 09 Nov
Atletico San Luis (H) 21 Nov
Monterrey
Puebla (A) 22 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas (H) 25 Oct
Club Tijuana (H) 01 Nov
Toluca (A) 08 Nov
Club Queretaro (A) 14 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Puebla 4.20 24% implied
Draw 3.80 26% implied
Monterrey 1.80 56% implied
Puebla 3.25 31% implied
Monterrey 1.33 75% implied
Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied
Under 0.5 13.00 8% implied
Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied
Under 1.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 1.75 57% implied
Under 2.5 2.05 49% implied
Over 3.5 2.75 36% implied
Under 3.5 1.40 71% implied
Over 4.5 5.50 18% implied
Under 4.5 1.14 88% implied
Puebla/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Puebla/Monterrey 21.00 5% implied
Draw/Monterrey 5.00 20% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
Puebla/Puebla 6.50 15% implied
Draw/Puebla 8.50 12% implied
Monterrey/Puebla 29.00 3% implied
Monterrey/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Monterrey/Monterrey 2.88 35% implied
Yes 1.70 59% implied
No 2.05 49% implied
1:1 7.00 14% implied
0:1 8.00 13% implied
1:2 8.50 12% implied
0:2 9.00 11% implied
0:0 12.00 8% implied
1:0 13.00 8% implied
1:3 13.00 8% implied
2:1 15.00 7% implied
Puebla/Draw 1.91 52% implied
Puebla/Monterrey 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Monterrey 1.25 80% implied Our tip
Puebla 4.50 22% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Monterrey 2.38 42% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Puebla vs Monterrey: preview and prediction

Puebla host Monterrey in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla. Puebla sit 12th in the table and Monterrey 8th. Monterrey are 1 point ahead (17 to 16).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
8 Monterrey 11524 19:16 +3 17
12 Puebla 12444 12:13 -1 16

Full Liga MX standings

Puebla are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-D-D). Monterrey are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-W).

In the last 10 meetings, Puebla won 1, Monterrey won 6 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Puebla and 1.2 for Monterrey. It gives Puebla the edge (44% home win, 25% draw, 30% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Double Chance (X2) at odds of 1.29.

Puebla vs Monterrey FAQs

What is the best prediction for Puebla vs Monterrey?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.29 odds).

Who will win Puebla vs Monterrey?

Puebla are favourites: our model gives Puebla 44%, the draw 25% and Monterrey 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 70% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Puebla vs Monterrey?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 22nd October 2026 at 01:00 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla.

Who is the referee?

Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas is in charge of this game.

More Liga MX Tips

03:00 Atlas Club America X2 03:00 Toluca Club Tijuana 1 05:00 Pachuca Cruz Azul 1X 05:10 Santos Laguna UNAM Pumas 1X