Astur vs Mosconia

Match Analysis & Predictions

Spain: Tercera División RFEF - Group 2

Sun, 4th Oct, 2026 • 10:15 Group 2 - 5
Astur Astur
16th in table
LLDDD
0 VS 0
Finished
HT 0 - 0
Mosconia Mosconia
4th in table
WDWDD

Expert Prediction · Away Win

2 @ 1.65 (87% chance) Lost

Winner : Mosconia
87% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win

4.50 20% implied

Draw

3.50 26% implied

Away Win

1.65 54% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Away Win 2 @ 1.65
Double Chance X2 @ 1.18

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Condal 6420 10:2 +8 14 WDWDW
2 Sporting Gijón II 6420 10:5 +5 14 DDWWW
3 Covadonga 6411 16:8 +8 13 LWWWD
4 Mosconia 6330 10:3 +7 12 DDWDW
5 Siero 6402 9:3 +6 12 WLWWW
6 Colunga 6321 14:12 +2 11 DDLWW
7 Caudal 6321 9:7 +2 11 DDWLW
8 Lealtad 6312 6:4 +2 10 WWDLL
9 Gijón Industrial 6222 10:8 +2 8 DWLDL
10 Langreo 6222 10:9 +1 8 LDWWD
11 San Martín 6222 9:12 -3 8 WWDDL
12 Avilés Stadium 6204 4:10 -6 6 WLLWL
13 Praviano 6123 11:13 -2 5 DDLLW
14 Ceares 6114 9:13 -4 4 DLLLL
15 L'Entregu 6114 2:9 -7 4 LDLLW
16 Astur 6033 5:10 -5 3 DDDLL
17 Llanes 6033 7:14 -7 3 LDDDL
18 Andes 6015 2:11 -9 1 LLLDL

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Astur Draw Mosconia
Value spotted: Mosconia win at 1.65 (model 74% vs market 54%)

Most likely scores

0-2 13.9%
0-1 12.4%
0-3 10.4%
1-2 9.1%
1-1 8%
1-3 6.8%

Expected goals: 0.65 Astur · 2.25 Mosconia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
9%
Form
91%
27%
Attack
73%
11%
Defence
89%
0%
Goal model
100%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
15%
Overall
84%

Recent form

1 W 3 D 4 L in the last 8
11 Oct 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Gijón Industrial 2 - 2 Astur D
04 Oct 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Astur 0 - 0 Mosconia D
27 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 San Martín 2 - 2 Astur D
20 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Astur 0 - 1 Siero L
13 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Colunga 2 - 1 Astur L
06 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Astur 0 - 3 Caudal L
29 Oct 2024Copa del Rey Astur 1 - 4 Valladolid L
09 Oct 2024Copa del Rey Astur 2 - 0 Promesas EDF W
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Mosconia 2 - 2 Ceares D
04 Oct 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Astur 0 - 0 Mosconia D
26 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Mosconia 1 - 0 Andes W
20 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Condal 0 - 0 Mosconia D
13 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Mosconia 2 - 0 Gijón Industrial W
06 Sep 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Llanes 1 - 5 Mosconia W
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Mosconia 0 - 2 Real Avilés L
24 May 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Covadonga 2 - 1 Mosconia L
17 May 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Mosconia 0 - 0 Covadonga D
10 May 2026Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Navarro 3 - 1 Mosconia L

Season numbers

Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
3
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Astur Mosconia

Side by side

Astur Mosconia
4 Played 4
0 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
3 Lost 0
0.8 Goals scored per game 2
2 Goals conceded per game 0.3
0 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 2.5
0 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 2
- Biggest win 2-0
0-3 Biggest defeat -
0/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Astur vs Mosconia: preview and prediction

Astur host Mosconia in the Spain Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (Group 2 - 5) on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 10:15. Astur sit 16th in the table and Mosconia 4th. Mosconia are 9 points ahead (12 to 3).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
4 Mosconia 6330 10:3 +7 12
16 Astur 6033 5:10 -5 3

Full Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 standings

Astur are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-D-D). Mosconia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-D).

Our goal model expects about 0.65 goals for Astur and 2.25 for Mosconia. It gives Mosconia the edge (9% home win, 17% draw, 74% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-2.

Our pick was Away Win (2) at odds of 1.65. We also like Double Chance (X2).

Astur vs Mosconia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Astur vs Mosconia?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (1.65 odds).

Who will win Astur vs Mosconia?

Mosconia are favourites: our model gives Astur 9%, the draw 17% and Mosconia 74%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Astur vs Mosconia?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 10:15.

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